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Originally Posted by ianathuth
You haven't thought that out Erol. Vehicle types and how they are driven is the main cause of road congestion. Get on a hilly motorway with one lorry trying to pass another at virtually the same speed and a car driver hardly going any faster than the lorries using the outside lane to pass them and you soon get a big build up of traffic. Take the same motorway with all the vehicles doing exactly 70 mph and you have no congestion at all.
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The analogy of cars blocking the road as above does not translate into the network analogy. Net congestion is simply down to the number of people trying to use a shared resource all at the same time, you can not 'drive badly' on the net. You can either use it or not (to varying degrees) - during peak periods or not. There is simply no equivalent net behviour that relates to such type of driving. However if you insist on this analogy, then in these terms I would 'argue' that you are branding lorries unfairly (as 'heavy' users are), in that anyone can drive like an idiot. Would you suggest solving this (unique to roads) congestion issues by restricting lorries on the road or by restricting bad driving? In analogy terms you would just restrict lorries, regarless of how well or bad they drive and regardless of how many other non lorry bad drivers there are.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ianathuth
Neither of us know how NTL define abuse (other than the "cap" as set out in the AUP), nor the reasoning that NTL used to select customers to receive the letter
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The new AUP clearly defines 'abuse' of the network in terms of volumes downloaded. If you dl over 1gig a day for 3 days in a row your are, according to the terms of the AUP in breach of the AUP.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ianathuth
You can go online in peak hours and cause no congestion whatsoever. You, and others, talk about peak periods but all 24 hours a day can become congested dependant on how others on your card are behaving. There is a suggestion that downloading in non-peak hours is OK and doesn't affect anyone, correct me if I am wrong.
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If you go online during peak hours and _use_ your connection you are creating congestion. How much you cause is related to how much data you send up or down during these periods - but always with a mximum of less than your connection speed. One user can not create more than one users worth of congestion.
There certainly is a suggestion that downloading in non-peak (ie times when the shared pipe size is <= the total bandwidth that users attached to it are sending / recieveing)
Quote:
Originally Posted by ianathuth
I use p2p as an example, not because I am obsessed with it, but because it is something that many people use 24/7 and no matter what anyone says they are not always downloading legal material. What other application can you think of that can consume so much bandwidth 24/7?
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Basically almost any app run 24/7 can consume similar bandwidth.
Video serving
Newsgroups (and this is where the _real_ copyright leeching is done by those that do it best)
FTP
VPN
the list goes on.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ianathuth
I would welcome your ideas on how the subject of congestion can be overcome, taking into account the fact that there is not unlimited financial resources.
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The simple fact is if you build the right network then the cheapest way to deal with congestion is simply to put more bandwidth in. However NTL's network is far from the 'right' kind (at least from customer to UBR).
If you have to work with NTL's existing infrastructure and you really want to get the best experience for all users all the time, then limits should be placed on volumes uploaded (especially with cable based systems) and downloaded in certain 'peak' hours and not accross all hours. The objective should be to influence people to 'increase their statistical diversity' - or in other terms to spread thier usage out over the times when there is capacity to spare.
Alternatively if NTL want to run a service that is suitable for a certain type of user and usage - they should market and sell the product as such.
I am going chuck in some quotes from a book I have just finished reading (just come out of a 21 hour power cut here - so I did quite a bit of reading.) It's from Douglas Adams's Starship Titanic by Terry Jones. It features an alien (the Journalist) encountering human road traffic for the first time.
"'Purple Pangalin!' exclaimed the Journalist. 'What sort of transportation system d'you call this? The more popular it is the slower it goes! What genius worked this one out?!' He was really quite indignant"
"'You have to devise a system that goes _faster_ the more popular it is, so it can cope! It's perfectly obvious!'"
Now the above is obviously humorous - but it highlights the basic problem NTL has here. It is selling a product that it markets as a great thing that you can do all sorts of wonderous things with that are really great - just don't use it too much. That is a problem.
In the real world of atoms and physical transportation I do not know how the Journalists suggestion can be achieved. However in the digital world of electrons and photons, where the cost of moving data halves every 12months, and a single fibre can carry more data than all the users of NTL combined could create with 24/7 saturated usage, then I think his solution is achievable.
I want to see us (the human race) get as quickly to a point where anyone can move any amount of data to or from any location at a small fixed cost. Where contention is irrelevant. Where abundance is delivered and scarcity is a thing of the past. Do I think we will get there quicker if compaines like NTL restrict and limit usage and try and encourage those who want to move large amounts of data around to not do so? No I do not.
This vision of 'unlimited bandwidth' to all is not a pipe dream imo. It is in the realms of the possible and increasingly so by the day. By the day the costs of such a system are reducing. The main problems to achieveing this goal are not actualy techincal atm. They are more to do with the historic control of entities (telephone companies) that have for the last 100 years or so had a business built around the concept of managing scarity.
However much cleaver people have written about this subject than me. I would suggest than anyone interest find a book called 'Telecosm' by George Gilder. It's a great book. One part of it deals with his own personal 'vision' of the future. He see a 'glowing fibersphere' of traffic moving freely around the globe. Where you do not have an IP address, but a wavelength of light. If someone wants to send data to me the just chuck it out on my wavelenght and hey presto I get it.
We will at some point live in a world of 'near infinate bandwidth' - simply because it is techincally possible and offers to much value not to do so. My concern is in how quickly we move from a world of managed scarcity to one of abundance.
For me the NTL cap keeps us in a world of managed scarcity at the same time as simply not solving the problem of congestion.
So finally some questions for you Ian.
Do you really believe that if NTL were to remove the 5% highest download volume users from the network and replace them with 'normal' users - that your speeds in peak times will increase by more than 5%?
Do you accept that someone who currently downloads an average of 1.5meg per day - but always from 2am to 7am, is likely to respond to the cap by downloading .9meg per day during peak hours - thus making congestion _worse_ that it was?
The cap (if its objective is to reduce congestion) is ill though out and will not result in noticably faster speeds for the majority. Most users will still all try and use the net at the same time (and look to blame anyone else but themselves for the congestion). They will still encounter congestion and the absolute best improvment they can hope for is 5% - until the users removed are replaced with new users that use it in peak times, when you will be back to square one (but now you statistical diversity will be even worse because you have forced those that use it in unpopular times off the service.)