Reform UK's chronicles

[OLD BOY]

Originally Posted by Sephiroth

All those polemics between the two of you hardly matter. Peak Farage has electorally occurred for now. If he boxes clever, it will resurge and Kemi will have some thinking to do.

Farage’s Reform UK is still way ahead of the other parties in the polls. Haveyou forgotten that little reality, Seph?

---------- Post added at 20:10 ---------- Previous post was at 20:08 ----------

Originally Posted by 1andrew1

I'm sure Peak Farage has occurred, period.

As reluctant as I am to make predictions, I can't see Burnham attaining Starmer's level of unpopularity.

So who do you think will win the next GE, beating in mind the polls?

A lot of your posts recently seem to be based on wishful thinking. But you don’t have solutions.

---------- Post added at 20:12 ---------- Previous post was at 20:10 ----------

Originally Posted by Carth

Andy (I Am Legend) Burnham is no doubt popular with most other political figures, but don't let that fool you into thinking the general public are going to take to him too.

oh, and the difference between popular and unpopular can be as little as 6 months

Did it really take that long for Starmer to achieve that?

[jfman]

Way ahead being less than 1 in 4 of those polled.

Originally Posted by jfman

Way ahead being less than 1 in 4 of those polled.

I’m old enough to remember when Farage’s previous party UKIP hit 25% in the Opinion Polls…

https://www.euractiv.com/news/poll-s...s-record-high/

[1andrew1]

Originally Posted by OLD BOY

So who do you think will win the next GE, beating in mind the polls?

Today's opinion polls are not particularly relevant as a General Election is not imminent. That's likely to be in three years' time; a long time in British politics.

I think it's impossible to predict the results of an election in 2029 today as there are simply too many unknowns including how Burnham's government gets on and the willingness of political parties to form alliances or to make electoral pacts.

Originally Posted by OLD BOY

A lot of your posts recently seem to be based on wishful thinking. But you don’t have solutions.

I think my last post predicted that Rachel Reeves would not be Chancellor under Andy Burnham. It's not for me to say who the PM should appoint and I don't know the qualities of potential candidates to offer an opinion. I sense a little self-projection going on here.

Originally Posted by OLD BOY

Farage’s Reform UK is still way ahead of the other parties in the polls. Have you forgotten that little reality, Seph?

I'm sure Seph's aware of the polls but to call 24% v 19% "way ahead" is stretching reality somewhat.
https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/voting-intention

[jfman]

I’m old enough to remember the wishful thinking of trade deals with China. Unlikely to feature in a Reform manifesto IMHO.

---------- Post added at 22:23 ---------- Previous post was at 22:20 ----------

Originally Posted by 1andrew1

I'm sure Seph's aware of the polls but to call 24% v 19% "way ahead" is stretching reality somewhat.
https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/voting-intention

What will hit Reform is that in FPTP the Labour and Conservatives votes are more heavily concentrated in some constituencies. So 25% in many cases is unlikely to translate into anything like a majority. It probably wouldn’t even be a Reform minority government.