President Obama reelected to a second term

Originally Posted by thenry

did you just look that up. tell you the truth i cant call it. and as long as i can go get eye candy on beaches in the states im not fussed.

Nah I remember going to an Arsenal game after having watched the election during the previous night but I got it wrong! We drew! Good signs for Obama!

[thenry]

It was a rubbish game though, 0 - 0. So boring.

So who else is staying up?

---------- Post added 07-11-2012 at 00:24 ---------- Previous post was 06-11-2012 at 23:33 ----------

So tense!

[thenry]

from previous elections over here i remember the person who starts the night well always goes on to be beaten by the other favourite ?

Originally Posted by thenry

from previous elections over here i remember the person who starts the night well always goes on to be beaten by the other favourite ?

Doesn't work that way in the US. Here it's because we don't have the same system and the 'swing' tends to hold across the country so if a party is up by a certain amount of % we can usually guess where the election will go.

In America it really does depend on the state by state. Not a single state that matters has been called yet so we simply don't know.

Basically for this early part of the evening you want to see where Virginia and Florida go, they are expected to go to Romney. If Obama wins Virginia then life will be very difficult for Romney and it will be over if Obama then wins Ohio too.

If Obama wins Florida then it's over pretty much.

[Tezcatlipoca]

I stayed up in 2008. Not sure if I will this time.

[thenry]

i still dont understand fully. what time are the key states expected to come in?

Originally Posted by thenry

i still dont understand fully. what time are the key states expected to come in?

I don't know. Depends how close it is...Next couple of hours we should get Florida and Virginia I think.

---------- Post added at 00:49 ---------- Previous post was at 00:48 ----------

Originally Posted by Matt D

I stayed up in 2008. Not sure if I will this time.

But what if something happens!

---------- Post added at 00:51 ---------- Previous post was at 00:49 ----------

Florida might declare and it's close at the moment. If that goes to Obama then we're in for a shorter night than expected....

I can see this Jeremy Vine segment being on HIGNFY this week.

I am watching CNN, got bored with BBC when they kept explaining that the popular vote doesn't decide the election. CNN takes this knowledge as red and goes into depth about the places inside the state that may decide how the state falls...

[thenry]

Sky News here. Their saying exit poll results for Florida goes to Obama

Originally Posted by thenry

Sky News here. Their saying exit poll results for Florida goes to Obama

Same with CNN (I also suspect Sky's would be CNN/Fox's exit polls). Exit polls can be wrong, they were when they gave the election to Kerry and he then lost...

---------- Post added at 01:29 ---------- Previous post was at 01:11 ----------

What is interesting is that the exit polls are showing a democratic lean in how voters identify themselves. This is important because the Republican contention was that the public polls that had Obama ahead were underestimating the Republican turnout and overestimating the Democratic turnout. We're not seeing that in the exit polls or the initial results...

It's early so they may well prove correct but at the moment there isn't anything to contradict the public polling.

[Will21st]

CNN is the best to be following this.

Originally Posted by Will21st

CNN is the best to be following this.

CNN is good. Real clear idea of what is going on.

[TheDaddy]

Originally Posted by Damien

It was a rubbish game though, 0 - 0. So boring.

So who else is staying up?[COLOR="Silver"]
!

I am but then I'd be up anyway...