14-04-2005, 20:13
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#58
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Inactive
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Cambridge
Posts: 16,760
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Re: Vote 2005, week 2, new poll!
The Decapitation Strategy
http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/st...459097,00.html
Quote:
(snip)
Michael Howard, who is decapitation target No 1. His majority in Folkestone and Hythe is uncomfortably tight, with the Lib Dems only 5,900 votes behind. There are 9,000 Labour voters in that constituency, notes Rennard: if two in three switch to the Lib Dems, Howard is a gonner.
(snip)
But it's not just him. One intriguing prospect is a Conservative party deprived of Howard and the man who considers himself the obvious successor. David Davis is defending a meagre 1,900-margin in Haltemprice and Howden. With 7,000 Labour voters there last time, not many would have to defect to see Davis out of a job.
Incredibly, Howard's top lieutenant, Oliver Letwin, is in an even more perilous state, defending a majority of just 1,414 votes in West Dorset. It would only take a run of bad luck - and Labour willingness to vote Lib Dem - to slice off the Conservatives' collective head.
(snip)
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Oh, if only it happened. I'd love it if Labour voters tactically voted Lib Dem & Howard et al lost their seats!
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