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Old 04-03-2014, 05:15   #166
TheDaddy
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Re: Ukraine on the verge of civil war!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
The soldiers in the compounds will have been talking through the fence with the Russians outside. You could see as much in the BBC's report last night.

They will have been told what's afoot, they will have been told they can stay in their compounds and keep their honour, and as long as nobody starts waving a rifle about, the Russians will break the gates down early tomorrow morning and 'deport' the soldiers to Kiev.

We are witnessing the partition of Ukraine. It won't end in Crimea but I don't believe even Putin is mad enough to take it all the way to Kiev. He wants a Russian-friendly satellite on the Black Sea because otherwise his navy is screwed. A Russian-friendly East Ukraine, or more likely a series of autonomous republics, like Crimea, will give him that. The Westerners can then get on with cosying up to the EU.

It's just good old fashioned Soviet spheres of influence, deployed by a good old fashioned Soviet who doesn't know how to do international affairs in any other way.

And, to be frank, despite being disappointed in the mad dog way he's gone about it, I can entirely see why he would want to fix things in his back yard like this.
Don't be fooled by him, I think he might be one of the shrewdest, smartest politicians around, he runs rings around our lot anyway.

---------- Post added at 05:14 ---------- Previous post was at 05:13 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Osem View Post
Yes, any suffering as a result of sanctions won't really be felt by them but by the ordinary people and he'll lay the blame squarely at the door of the EU and US.
Any sanctions won't be economic...

---------- Post added at 05:15 ---------- Previous post was at 05:14 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hom3r View Post
Will Putin go to the opening ceremony of the Paralympics?

Will he get booed?

I thought he would have invaded after the paralympics.
What like Gideon was at our olympics, one of the best parts of the games ever imo
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