Cable Forum - View Single Post

**Damien** · 13-04-2010, 22:40

I can't make sense of the Polls at all. How are the Tories not steaming ahead in the manor New Labour did in '97? The polls have tightened considerably over the last year but there they never reached massive majority numbered and not, despite 13 years of the current government, they are quite close!

My first impression was that the numbers for the Tories would be quite higher with Tory voters less likely to admit it and being of a demographic which is harder to poll. Then I thought that's rubbish! For a start I think people would be more embarrassed to say they would vote Labour than Tory, and their supports are probably also contain demographics which are harder to poll. If anything the Labour support would be underestimated.

So what gives?! How come the Tories have been unable to reverse the decline in their poll support despite, what I thought was, a strong first week of campaigning?

13-04-2010, 22:40	#384
Damien Remoaner Cable Forum Team Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 32,776	Re: The 2010 General Election Thread: Week 1 I can't make sense of the Polls at all. How are the Tories not steaming ahead in the manor New Labour did in '97? The polls have tightened considerably over the last year but there they never reached massive majority numbered and not, despite 13 years of the current government, they are quite close! My first impression was that the numbers for the Tories would be quite higher with Tory voters less likely to admit it and being of a demographic which is harder to poll. Then I thought that's rubbish! For a start I think people would be more embarrassed to say they would vote Labour than Tory, and their supports are probably also contain demographics which are harder to poll. If anything the Labour support would be underestimated. So what gives?! How come the Tories have been unable to reverse the decline in their poll support despite, what I thought was, a strong first week of campaigning?