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UK & EU Agree Post-Brexit Trade Deal
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:02   #481
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
The electorate.
By that measure, all MPs are 'popular'.
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:04   #482
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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I think everyone knows an election is coming soon either way. They just want to make sure Boris Johnson is getting as much bad press as possible, although I don't think they're nearly adept at it as Dominic Cummings is.

I think the election result is really up in the air. In terms of seats it's easier to see where the Tories lose seats (Scotland, Lib/Tory marginals) but it's not clear where they win them. They're betting the house on large swings from Labour Brexiters but if they've miscalculated that then....
Sensible analysis. The Conservatives have inflicted damage on themselves with the expulsions, they are weakened in the geographies you have described with Scotland being self-inflicted and Corbyn has played the whole Brexit shall I/shan't I game effectively.
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:11   #483
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Sensible analysis. The Conservatives have inflicted damage on themselves with the expulsions, they are weakened in the geographies you have described with Scotland being self-inflicted and Corbyn has played the whole Brexit shall I/shan't I game effectively.
We'll see shortly what the electorate makes of that!
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:16   #484
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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We'll see shortly what the electorate makes of that!
Well, 43% of the public think BoJo should step down v 39% saying carry on. Indeed, what a carry-on it has been under BoJo.
https://yougov.co.uk/
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:19   #485
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

By 49 to 30 they think proroguing Parliament was unlawful?
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:25   #486
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

In normal times the AG would resign ... Sending Mr Mogg to Balmoral to mislead the Queen is not the done thing ..
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:27   #487
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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By 49 to 30 they think proroguing Parliament was unlawful?
I would have thought it higher but people are voting along political not legal limes.
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:33   #488
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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I would have thought it higher but people are voting along political not legal limes.
Indeed, but I would say the Attorney General was more of a legal lemon !
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:34   #489
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

End of the Tory Party I wonder... Rees-Mogg as PM.. O deary me.
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:35   #490
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

Let's just have an election, Con's will get in, Boris will still be leader we will leave on the 31st Oct. Simples.
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:37   #491
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Let's just have an election, Con's will get in, Boris will still be leader we will leave on the 31st Oct. Simples.
Much like 29th March there absolutely zero chance of now leaving on 31st October.
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:47   #492
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Much like 29th March there absolutely zero chance of now leaving on 31st October.
Zero chance of the EU granting an extention to A50.
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Old 24-09-2019, 19:56   #493
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Zero chance of the EU granting an extention to A50.
Heard that before too.

£1bn a month remember.
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Old 24-09-2019, 20:09   #494
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Much like 29th March there absolutely zero chance of now leaving on 31st October.
That’s the only certainty at the moment.
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Old 24-09-2019, 20:13   #495
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Let's just have an election, Con's will get in, Boris will still be leader we will leave on the 31st Oct. Simples.
We can’t hold an election where BJ will be PM (if he wins) before the 31st October, even if he calls one* tomorrow or Thursday, as a general election would need to follow a strict timetable specified in law - Parliament has to be dissolved at least 25 working days before polling day, and by tradition, polling day is on a Thursday.

If he picked Thursday October 31 for polling day (27 working days from now), dissolution would need to take place on Thursday September 26th (but the results wouldn’t be available until the 1st of October).

So, for BJ to call* and win an election so he would still be leader by 31st October, Parliament would need to be dissolved tomorrow.


*which he can’t
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