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Old 12-02-2020, 10:07   #31
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post
I think the rational and sensible thing to do now is panic. I for one have purchased a year's worth of anti-bacterial hand gel and will start eating a bottle a day of it.
Don’t forget to keep the bottles and transform them into a hazmat suit.
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Old 12-02-2020, 10:27   #32
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Quote from ITV News:
A healthcare worker at Worthing Hospital is among the eight confirmed cases of coronavirus in the UK.

Staff at the West Sussex hospital received a memo on Tuesday telling them a member of staff working in the A&E department had been diagnosed with the disease.

A spokesperson for the Department of Health said that all services at the hospital, including surgery and out patients, are operating normally.

It is understood the healthcare worker at Worthing Hospital is not the same person as the locum doctor working in Brighton, who is also one of the eight cases.
Plague's in town. The hospital is less than a mile away from us.
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Old 12-02-2020, 10:49   #33
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Re: Coronavirus

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Originally Posted by heero_yuy View Post
Plague's in town. The hospital is less than a mile away from us.
You want to watch out for the red cross on the door for that.
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Old 12-02-2020, 15:48   #34
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul View Post
Also rather meaningless since the entire world population isnt going to catch it.

JFYI, around 150,000 of the worlds population dies every day anyway, regardless of this virus.
That's based upon 60% catching it and 1% of those dying. That is what the experts are saying.
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Old 12-02-2020, 17:46   #35
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by nomadking View Post
That's based upon 60% catching it and 1% of those dying. That is what the experts are saying.
We all know what we think of experts.
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Old 12-02-2020, 19:10   #36
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by pip08456 View Post
We all know what we think of experts.
Yeah, bleeding scientists, they and their evidence know nothing. Bloke down the pub knows better. They'll be telling us the climate is changing next.... Its all political correctness gone mad I should think.
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Old 12-02-2020, 19:58   #37
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Re: Coronavirus

First case of coronavirus confirmed in London


https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/12...tive-china-who
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Old 12-02-2020, 20:05   #38
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Re: Coronavirus

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Old 13-02-2020, 12:11   #39
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr K View Post
Yeah, bleeding scientists, they and their evidence know nothing. Bloke down the pub knows better. They'll be telling us the climate is changing next.... Its all political correctness gone mad I should think.
Some depressing science stuff I've put in spoiler.
Spoiler: 

Exponentials (which is how epidemics work) are very difficult to project without perfect data and modelling because slight errors quickly become huge differences. As such, predictions on total deaths are probably going to be way off. The current death-rate is probably between 0.5% and 3% given a paper someone told me about, so the total deaths will be limited to how well you contain it.
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Old 15-02-2020, 17:13   #40
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Re: Coronavirus

Coronavirus bombshell: ‘REAL cause’ of outbreak claim - Chinese scientists break cover

CORONAVIRUS spread from a science laboratory in Wuhan and not a ‘wet market', a group of Chinese scientists have sensationally claimed.


https://www.express.co.uk/news/world...rket-bioweapon


“We noted two laboratories conducting research on bat coronavirus in Wuhan, one of which was only 280 metres from the seafood market.
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Last edited by papa smurf; 15-02-2020 at 17:16.
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Old 15-02-2020, 17:46   #41
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post
I think the rational and sensible thing to do now is panic. I for one have purchased a year's worth of anti-bacterial hand gel and will start eating a bottle a day of it.
Wash your hands all you like. The virus can enter by the eyes and be picked up from your own clothes.

So goggles, mask and naked then rubbing the gel all over?
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Old 15-02-2020, 20:07   #42
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by papa smurf View Post
I have noticed that the price of face masks has gone from dirt cheap to quite expensive, i'm not saying they will do any good just noticing the price.

the DIY facemasks are useful as a chocolate teapot.

Plus we are quite safe in the UK.

The biggest problem is they report the deaths, but not the people who have fully recovered.

I think I hear on the radio that only 0.0002% have actually died.
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Old 16-02-2020, 16:16   #43
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hom3r View Post
the DIY facemasks are useful as a chocolate teapot.

Plus we are quite safe in the UK.

The biggest problem is they report the deaths, but not the people who have fully recovered.

I think I hear on the radio that only 0.0002% have actually died.
Nope. the numbers from Friday

Quote:
- 66,887 cases worldwide (but mostly China)
- 10,109 suspected cases
- 1,523 fatalities
- 10,757 in serious/critical condition
- 7,720 recovered
0.0002% equates to 10% of one person dead.
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Last edited by downquark1; 16-02-2020 at 16:20.
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Old 16-02-2020, 16:30   #44
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Re: Coronavirus

There's some very dodgy maths going on in this thread...
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Old 17-02-2020, 16:24   #45
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Re: Coronavirus

Using those figures ;

If you ignore the "suspected" cases then The fatality rate is 2.2%.
The infection rate (using a world population of 7.7 Billion) is 0.0000087%.
If you include the suspected, the fatality rate is 2.0%, the infection rate is still only 0.00001%.
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