04-11-2020, 02:25
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#736
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Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 15,118
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Biden's lead in Ohio was 300k half an hour ago. It's 85k now.
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04-11-2020, 02:28
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#737
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,227
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Re: U.S Election 2020
This looks like it's going to be a close election then
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04-11-2020, 02:29
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#738
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Architect of Ideas
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,366
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Trump 4/6 on Ladbrokes. Biden 11/10.
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04-11-2020, 02:33
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#739
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,227
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Re: U.S Election 2020
If this holds it will be the biggest miss in political history I think. 2016 wasn't that big a miss. If it misses by this much then I don't understand how much value polls will have in America, they just can't seem to capture an ever-changing demographic.
UK polls are generally still ok though.
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04-11-2020, 02:37
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#740
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Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 15,118
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Re: U.S Election 2020
538 started with Trump at 11% win likelihood and now has him at 50%
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04-11-2020, 02:44
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#741
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Architect of Ideas
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,366
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Mick how are you following it? CNN are guessing (don't know how) that early votes are 40% of current totals in Ohio and they expect it to grow to 53% of final total, possibly offsetting Trump inroads in rural areas.
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04-11-2020, 02:47
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#742
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Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 15,118
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Re: U.S Election 2020
I follow more than one source, I have several browser windows open. I am not just relying on just one news outlet. Fyi my TV is not on, following all the data online.
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04-11-2020, 02:47
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#743
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cf.mega poster
Join Date: Jan 2007
Services: XL TV
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Cat
Posts: 2,269
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Trumps won this. im off to bed! Really predictable I thought yet the pollsters hadnt learnt from 2016
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04-11-2020, 02:48
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#744
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Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 15,118
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Trump now in lead in Ohio.
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04-11-2020, 02:59
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#745
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,227
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
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New: Philadelphia officials say they will not be reporting any more mail ballot results tonight. About 76,000 have been tallied so far — out of 350,000-some received. And remember, Biden supporters are disproportionately voting by mail. twitter.com/MaxMMarin/stat…
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We won't know whose won Pennsylvania tonight.
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04-11-2020, 03:01
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#746
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Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 15,118
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Re: U.S Election 2020
China Yuan just tanked at the prospect of Trump winning his second term.
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04-11-2020, 03:01
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#747
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Architect of Ideas
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,366
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Bed time for me. Enjoy.
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04-11-2020, 03:43
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#748
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,227
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Looking even closer than last time.
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04-11-2020, 05:17
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#749
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Dr Pepper Addict
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Nottingham
Age: 61
Services: Flextel SIP : Sky Mobile : Sky Q TV : VM BB (1000 Mbps) : Aquiss FTTP (330 Mbps)
Posts: 27,726
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Doesnt seem that close on the BBC site ;
__________________
 Baby, I was born this way.
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04-11-2020, 07:18
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#750
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cf.mega pornstar
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 18,802
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
If this holds it will be the biggest miss in political history I think. 2016 wasn't that big a miss. If it misses by this much then I don't understand how much value polls will have in America, they just can't seem to capture an ever-changing demographic.
UK polls are generally still ok though.
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If donny wins he deserves it, he's done much more to earn it over the last month or so, he might be irresponsible holding these super spreader events but his opponent has done literally nothing, he doesn't even seem to have bothered having a message other than "I'm not that guy".
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