04-11-2020, 10:22
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#766
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Perfect Soldier
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Worthing West Sussex
Age: 66
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in modem mode
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Posts: 10,997
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by tweetiepooh
I think I read something that the pollster group that called a Trump win last time has him winning again this time but by smaller certainty/margin. May have been on BBC but not so bothered to dig it out.
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Post #693 
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History is much like an endless waltz: The three beats of war, peace and revolution continue on forever.
However history will change with my coronation - Mariemaia Khushrenada
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04-11-2020, 10:24
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#767
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067
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Middlesbrough
Age: 48
Services: Many
Posts: 4,608
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
Probably, depends if the margin increases or deceases and tips back to Trump. At the moment it's mostly dem postal votes coming in.
Weird for a UK network to call it. Fox News hasn't yet.
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Very, AP haven't called it either yet. 94% reporting
Trump 50.3%
Biden 48.3%
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04-11-2020, 10:34
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#768
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,231
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Whatever happens it's going to come down to a few thousand votes again. Probably in Wisconsin and Michigan either way.
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04-11-2020, 10:52
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#769
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cf.mega poster
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 14,233
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
Weird for a UK network to call it. Fox News hasn't yet.
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Maybe that's through their NBC link as both now part of Comcast?
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04-11-2020, 12:26
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#770
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,231
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Re: U.S Election 2020
No one has called Georgia yet. Some wires got crossed and the difference between leaning R and is R got mixed up IMO.
Sky don't have a decision desk nor the experience of running one. UK networks don't call American elections.
---------- Post added at 12:26 ---------- Previous post was at 10:55 ----------
This is starting to go in Biden’s direction
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04-11-2020, 12:36
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#771
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cf.mega poster
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 14,233
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
This is starting to go in Biden’s direction
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I kind of thought it would be when Trump called the election fraudulent. He's many things but not stupid and wouldn't say that if he was going to win. I think his polling intelligence is probably stronger than the public polls we're seeing though.
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04-11-2020, 12:36
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#772
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Trollsplatter
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: North of Watford
Services: Humane elimination of all common Internet pests
Posts: 36,946
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
No one has called Georgia yet. Some wires got crossed and the difference between leaning R and is R got mixed up IMO.
Sky don't have a decision desk nor the experience of running one. UK networks don't call American elections.
---------- Post added at 12:26 ---------- Previous post was at 10:55 ----------
This is starting to go in Biden’s direction
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For those of us lacking the deep understanding of how the ongoing count is 'read' and extrapolations towards calling are made ... how is it now going Biden's direction?
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04-11-2020, 12:40
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#773
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,231
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
For those of us lacking the deep understanding of how the ongoing count is 'read' and extrapolations towards calling are made ... how is it now going Biden's direction?
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Michigan and Wisconsin are tied or have Biden are ahead but the remaining vote seems to be largely from from Democratic areas it seems
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04-11-2020, 12:40
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#774
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Trollsplatter
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: North of Watford
Services: Humane elimination of all common Internet pests
Posts: 36,946
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Re: U.S Election 2020
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04-11-2020, 12:49
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#775
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NUTS !!
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 4,891
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Re: U.S Election 2020
From the BBC...
'With 99% of votes counted, Democratic challenger Joe Biden has taken a slim lead (about 20,000 votes right now) over President Donald Trump in the Midwestern industrial state of Wisconsin.
Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Wisconsin by less than 30,000 votes back in 2016 in a major upset.
Despite Biden's slim lead, the race remains too close to be projected.
Wisconsin could be pivotal in determining who wins the White House.'
I reckon Trump will force a recount on this one...
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Oh what fun it is
Last edited by peanut; 04-11-2020 at 12:55.
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04-11-2020, 13:16
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#776
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Woke and proud !
Join Date: Jun 2004
Services: TV, Phone, BB, a wife
Posts: 9,143
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Re: U.S Election 2020
I always look to the bookies when things are unclear, they usually price it right. Biden favourite right now.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics.../winning-party (is an Independent still worth a bet at 979-1 )
Crazy country, crazy electoral system - one person one vote for President seems simpler and fairer. The UK isn't much better in that regard.
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04-11-2020, 13:18
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#777
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,231
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Wisconsin doesn’t have an automatic recount https://ballotpedia.org/Election_rec...0_states,_2020
Usually it’s 0.5% which Biden looks like he’ll clear? So can’t see a recount there unless it gets really close
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04-11-2020, 13:25
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#778
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cf.mega poster
Join Date: Jun 2003
Age: 37
Services: Plusnet FFTC
Posts: 4,822
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr K
I always look to the bookies when things are unclear, they usually price it right. Biden favourite right now.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics.../winning-party (is an Independent still worth a bet at 979-1 )
Crazy country, crazy electoral system - one person one vote for President seems simpler and fairer. The UK isn't much better in that regard. |
That is quite a swing, last night they favoured Biden, this morning they heavily favoured Trump.
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04-11-2020, 13:51
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#779
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laeva recumbens anguis
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 67
Services: Premiere Collection
Posts: 42,113
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by downquark1
That is quite a swing, last night they favoured Biden, this morning they heavily favoured Trump.
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Still favouring Biden - 4/7 vs 11/5
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04-11-2020, 13:54
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#780
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Architect of Ideas
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,382
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Re: U.S Election 2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman @2.30am
Trump 4/6 on Ladbrokes. Biden 11/10.
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Shortly after this Biden went out as far as 3/1. I took a punt at 2/1.
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