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UK & EU Agree Post-Brexit Trade Deal
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Old 08-10-2019, 16:20   #1111
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by pip08456 View Post
There is no application for a free trade deal at present. No discussions for a future deal untill a withdrawal agreement is reached or after we leave.
So it does look like the UK could just leave and then either go for a trade deal with the EU or not.

I sure hope the No Deal preparations are really good or a lot of people are going to suffer.

Leaving without a deal may also affect the pound,the stock market, businesses & employment.It could be a real mess.
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Old 08-10-2019, 17:22   #1112
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by ntluser View Post
So it does look like the UK could just leave and then either go for a trade deal with the EU or not.

I sure hope the No Deal preparations are really good or a lot of people are going to suffer.

Leaving without a deal may also affect the pound,the stock market, businesses & employment.It could be a real mess.
Which deal are you referring to? You seemed have mentioned both of them and in the 3rd para, both at the same time. That's quite a feat.

---------- Post added at 15:45 ---------- Previous post was at 15:25 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman View Post
Emotive terminology there. The Benn Act does no such thing. Johnson is obliged to ask for an extension once. That's it. It doesn't stop Britain leaving without a deal after that extension elapses.
It's gives impossible conditions that are completely out of his hands. If their intention was to force a never-ending extension, then that is what the bill should have been solely about.
Section 2(5)
Quote:
(5)The Secretary of State shall make a further report under subsection (1) at least every 28 calendar days starting on 7 February 2020 either until an agreement with the European Union is reached or until otherwise indicated by a resolution of the House of Commons


---------- Post added at 16:22 ---------- Previous post was at 15:45 ----------

Link

Quote:
In an extraordinary briefing about the confidential discussion between the leaders, a No 10 source later said the German chancellor’s demands for Northern Ireland to remain in a customs union made a deal look “essentially impossible, not just now but ever”.
Called moving the goalposts. There was never going to be anything that Boris or anybody else, could come up with that Ireland would approve.
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Old 08-10-2019, 17:39   #1113
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by nomadking View Post
Which deal are you referring to? You seemed have mentioned both of them and in the 3rd para, both at the same time. That's quite a feat.

---------- Post added at 15:45 ---------- Previous post was at 15:25 ----------


It's gives impossible conditions that are completely out of his hands. If their intention was to force a never-ending extension, then that is what the bill should have been solely about.
Section 2(5)


---------- Post added at 16:22 ---------- Previous post was at 15:45 ----------

Link

Called moving the goalposts. There was never going to be anything that Boris or anybody else, could come up with that Ireland would approve.
This last point sounds more like the EU helping Ireland to become a united Ireland. Having said that Boris has not really offered anything that would give the EU the kind of legal security it requires.

Basically,it wants to be legally able to prevent the UK from establishing checkpoints, which is strange because the UK wants preserve the Good Friday agreement and not have checkpoints either.

However, the insistence of a Stormont Input every 4 years may have put paid to that.
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Old 08-10-2019, 17:54   #1114
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by nomadking View Post
Which deal are you referring to? You seemed have mentioned both of them and in the 3rd para, both at the same time. That's quite a feat.

---------- Post added at 15:45 ---------- Previous post was at 15:25 ----------


It's gives impossible conditions that are completely out of his hands. If their intention was to force a never-ending extension, then that is what the bill should have been solely about.
Section 2(5)


---------- Post added at 16:22 ---------- Previous post was at 15:45 ----------

Link

Called moving the goalposts. There was never going to be anything that Boris or anybody else, could come up with that Ireland would approve.
None of what you claim forces an indefinite extension. It's out and out demonstrably false to claim that is what the Benn Act facilitates.
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Old 08-10-2019, 17:58   #1115
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by ntluser View Post
This last point sounds more like the EU helping Ireland to become a united Ireland. Having said that Boris has not really offered anything that would give the EU the kind of legal security it requires.

Basically,it wants to be legally able to prevent the UK from establishing checkpoints, which is strange because the UK wants preserve the Good Friday agreement and not have checkpoints either.

However, the insistence of a Stormont Input every 4 years may have put paid to that.
The point is that there has never ever been anything else that would satisfy Ireland. Impossible to find something that UK Parliament hasn't turned down already, that the EU would agree to. So all this guff about the EU wanting an agreement and Boris blocking it, along with "it's up to the UK to come up with a solution" is total nonsense, as usual. The EU has not been negotiating in "good faith".

---------- Post added at 16:58 ---------- Previous post was at 16:54 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman View Post
None of what you claim forces an indefinite extension. It's out and out demonstrably false to claim that is what the Benn Act facilitates.
The "extension" in the bill only goes up to 31st Jan 2020. so how else does 7th Feb 2020 and beyond come into it? Impossible unless it means indefinite extensions.
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Old 08-10-2019, 18:40   #1116
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by nomadking View Post
So all this guff about the EU wanting an agreement and Boris blocking it, along with "it's up to the UK to come up with a solution" is total nonsense, as usual. The EU has not been negotiating in "good faith".
The backstop was an agreed solution between Theresa May's Government and the EU. When removed, the EU's stance was that the UK needs to come up with a solution that solves the problems that the backstop solved. It has failed to do so.
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Old 08-10-2019, 19:01   #1117
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
The backstop was an agreed solution between Theresa May's Government and the EU. When removed, the EU's stance was that the UK needs to come up with a solution that solves the problems that the backstop solved. It has failed to do so.
And Merkel has now effectively admitted that the backstop was always the only option as far as the EU is concerned. The WA is a draft agreement, and the backstop is still there. The Irish haven't attempted to seek any solution either.



Quote:
However, the anonymous No 10 source spoke to broadcast journalists, saying Merkel “made clear a deal is overwhelmingly unlikely and she thinks the EU has a veto on us leaving the customs union”. “Merkel said that if Germany wanted to leave the EU they could do it no problem, but the UK cannot leave without leaving Northern Ireland behind in a customs union and in full alignment forever,” the source said.
How could Germany leave? They have a very long land border(3700km) with other countries.
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Old 08-10-2019, 19:01   #1118
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by jfman View Post
You can't actually evidence that any of your prediction is true. Stick to predicting the imminent death of linear television, it's got marginally more credibility. Marginally.

Nobody has said we won't be able to holiday, only that it'll be more expensive to do so. This is true already. Nor has anyone predicted planes falling from the sky. You are conflating genuine risk with the ridiculous to try and minimise its importance.



The literal existence of Northern Ireland.
Don't be silly! You don't distinguish between statements that are fact and those that are not meant to be taken literally, do you?

Of course no-one has suggested seriously that planes would fall from the sky, but many have been under the impression that the UK will not be able to fly its planes over Europe, which of course is not the case. Some have been of the opinion that they will no longer be able to holiday in Europe, and I have met a few of them!

As far as NI, solutions are available, but Europe refuses to engage. The reality is, that if there is no deal, there will be no backstop. This seems to have eluded the Irish PM!
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Old 08-10-2019, 19:14   #1119
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by nomadking View Post
And Merkel has now effectively admitted that the backstop was always the only option as far as the EU is concerned. The WA is a draft agreement, and the backstop is still there. The Irish haven't attempted to seek any solution either.
Where has she admitted that? There's been some inadmissible off-the-record briefings from the UK Government but has she said anything like this?

---------- Post added at 18:14 ---------- Previous post was at 18:12 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY View Post
. The reality is, that if there is no deal, there will be no backstop. This seems to have eluded the Irish PM!
It's basically extension, election and then who knows what! It's the brave who can predict what that might bring with regard to Brexit.
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Old 08-10-2019, 19:21   #1120
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
Where has she admitted that? There's been some inadmissible off-the-record briefings from the UK Government but has she said anything like this?

---------- Post added at 18:14 ---------- Previous post was at 18:12 ----------


It's basically extension, election and then who knows what! It's the brave who can predict what that might bring with regard to Brexit.
You seem to believe that an extension is inevitable, Andrew, but it is not. You are conveniently ignoring at least two other possibilities.

1. The EU may fail to grant an extension.

2. Boris's master plan could be to apply for Article 24 of GATT, by which we could apply a protection period of up to 10 years. If the EU is as desperate for a deal as they make out, there is no reason why they should not support this. It deals with the backstop until such time as we agree a trade agreement, as well.

It sounds as though Boris also has other measures up his sleeve, which he is not revealing right now for obvious reasons.
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Old 08-10-2019, 19:43   #1121
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
Where has she admitted that? There's been some inadmissible off-the-record briefings from the UK Government but has she said anything like this?
The quote begins "Merkel said". If it had been anything else, it would/should have consisted of detailed specific objections to each part of the proposal, and which parts they were ok with. Have the EU said what parts they are ok with or could be tweaked?



What proposals have the EU even hinted at that would acceptable to them?
Link(again)

Quote:
The story of the backstop is not of a flawlessly executed Celtic masterplan, however. Dublin conceived it fitfully and gradually in response to British contradictions and missteps. But once crystallised as a goal, the Irish pursued it hell for leather.
They won't consider anything other option, they didn't even bother looking in the past 4 years for what according to them is a major issue.

Link

Quote:
Mr Varadkar has warned the Johnson plan could actually undermine that principle by giving one party in Northern Ireland a veto over what happens to the country as a whole.
"Country as a whole"? Shows the true motive behind the backstop. No alternative measures will ever be allowed. The backstop gives a veto to the IRA, Ireland, and the EU over what happens to the UK as a whole, and that's somehow reasonable and acceptable?
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Old 08-10-2019, 19:53   #1122
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by nomadking View Post
And Merkel has now effectively admitted that the backstop was always the only option as far as the EU is concerned. The WA is a draft agreement, and the backstop is still there. The Irish haven't attempted to seek any solution either.
It's a bit of a coincidence that the account of the call from a 'No 10 source' of Merkel's call suits their overall argument. She is being unreasonable, admitting her cynical ploy and effectiely taking all the responsibility for No Deal.
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Old 08-10-2019, 19:57   #1123
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

Have to say wish Merkel was our leader. Seems like a nice old bird. And she's vaguely competent, which puts her streets ahead of our leaders/potential leaders
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Old 08-10-2019, 20:05   #1124
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by Damien View Post
It's a bit of a coincidence that the account of the call from a 'No 10 source' of Merkel's call suits their overall argument. She is being unreasonable, admitting her cynical ploy and effectiely taking all the responsibility for No Deal.
And the denials aren't bit of a coincidence?
Other than the backstop, when have they ever said what proposals might be acceptable? It's always been a complete blanket no to the merest hint of a solution. Have Ireland and the EU ever said that X might be made to work? If you actually want to find a solution to something, the usual approach is either try and come up with something yourself, or at least be more supportive of other suggestions.

Last edited by nomadking; 08-10-2019 at 20:12.
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Old 08-10-2019, 20:26   #1125
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

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Originally Posted by Mr K View Post
Have to say wish Merkel was our leader. Seems like a nice old bird. And she's vaguely competent, which puts her streets ahead of our leaders/potential leaders
At least we can be in no doubt she is acting in the best interests of Germany/the EU. As opposed to disaster capitalists, vultures and the USA.

Last edited by jfman; 08-10-2019 at 20:42.
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