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Will Scotland Leave the UK?
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Old 27-08-2014, 12:35   #1831
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

More schoolyard politics from the yes camp.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-28943041

Quote:
Finance Secretary John Swinney has confirmed Scotland will not pay its share of the UK debt if it does not get a currency union after independence.

The Scottish government minister told a BBC referendum debate if the UK seized all the assets of the currency it must also take all the liabilities.
Let's see how throwing a tantrum plays out with international investors and with negotiations to enter the EU, NATO and other international bodies and institutions.
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Old 27-08-2014, 12:57   #1832
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Derek View Post
More schoolyard politics from the yes camp.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-28943041



Let's see how throwing a tantrum plays out with international investors and with negotiations to enter the EU, NATO and other international bodies and institutions.
It's not "a tantrum" as such, and it seems to be a risk they are prepared to take.

As far as the undecided are concerned the ball is in the Tory, Labour, Lib Dem court. All they have to do is once and for all unilaterally and absolutely rule out any sharing of the pound and put the issue to bed.

Their language has softened, and in some cases shifted, since their initial ruling out of the sharing of the pound. In the face of continued insistence on the part of the Yes campain they need to (re)assert that position if it is indeed (re)assertable.

Problem solved.
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Old 27-08-2014, 13:00   #1833
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Angry View Post
It's not "a tantrum" as such, and it seems to be a risk they are prepared to take.

As far as the undecided are concerned the ball is in the Tory, Labour, Lib Dem court. All they have to do is once and for all unilaterally and absolutely rule out any sharing of the pound and put the issue to bed.

Their language has softened, and in some cases shifted, since their initial ruling out of the sharing of the pound. In the face of continued insistence on the part of the Yes campain they need to (re)assert that position if it is indeed (re)assertable.

Problem solved.
I suspect the politics of phraseology is a little more sophisticated in Northern Ireland than it is over here Mr A. The nationalists may continue to argue it's a bluff, but there is no sense around here that people in general are combing through the words and phrases used by the politicians and coming to that conclusion. The committed Yes campaigners say it's a bluff because that's what their campaign leaders have told them. The committed No campaigners, the opposite, for the same reason.

In the middle of it all, there are a lot of uncertain people - and in a constitutional referendum, uncertainty is the friend of the status quo. It is doubtful whether any further "clarification" is necessary, or even helpful.
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Old 27-08-2014, 13:03   #1834
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

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Originally Posted by Chris View Post
In the middle of it all, there are a lot of uncertain people - and in a constitutional referendum, uncertainty is the friend of the status quo.
Therein lies the rub.
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Old 27-08-2014, 15:47   #1835
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Derek View Post
More schoolyard politics from the yes camp.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-28943041



Let's see how throwing a tantrum plays out with international investors and with negotiations to enter the EU, NATO and other international bodies and institutions.
That threat may well come back to haunt Salmond's Tartan Twits.
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Old 29-08-2014, 09:47   #1836
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

The Yessers are correct in saying they won't actually be defaulting by not taking the debt but the market is run by investors and any playing of political games over debt will be frowned upon irrespective of the technicalities of an official default.
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Old 29-08-2014, 10:18   #1837
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

There has been a lot of wilful misunderstanding of this point from the Yes camp. They keep saying "you can't default on a debt you don't have", but they conveniently forget that actual default is but one of many factors the ratings agencies look at when deciding a score.
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Old 29-08-2014, 10:36   #1838
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Their financial ineptitude is really being shown up. They're behaving like Argentina.
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Old 29-08-2014, 10:56   #1839
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Osem View Post
Their financial ineptitude is really being shown up. They're behaving like Argentina.
Well Eck is running out of countries to try an emulate. He's previously (while campaigning furiously for Euro entry) claimed Scotland should be more like Ireland, then Iceland and now Norway. When Norway goes down the pan thanks to his reverse Midas words Argentina might step up to be the next model to copy.

Also today the guessers are making big things of a poll showing them as being exactly where they were before the two debates.
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Old 29-08-2014, 10:59   #1840
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
There has been a lot of wilful misunderstanding of this point from the Yes camp. They keep saying "you can't default on a debt you don't have", but they conveniently forget that actual default is but one of many factors the ratings agencies look at when deciding a score.
Yup and even then the credit score is a debatable concept. The UK was downgraded but we didn't have to pay higher interest rates. Ultimately investors buy Government debt and use their own criteria for doing so. There is a marked contrast between Osbourne who immediately ensured the markets that the UK will honour all the debt and Salmond playing games with the 'we may/we may not' pay off debt.

Whatever happens the willingness to play games with other people's money will not inspire them to give you more cheaply.
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Old 29-08-2014, 11:29   #1841
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Derek View Post
Well Eck is running out of countries to try an emulate. He's previously (while campaigning furiously for Euro entry) claimed Scotland should be more like Ireland, then Iceland and now Norway. When Norway goes down the pan thanks to his reverse Midas words Argentina might step up to be the next model to copy.

Also today the guessers are making big things of a poll showing them as being exactly where they were before the two debates.
Just saw that Survation poll. So, essentially, Darling's win in the first debate shifted 3 points worth of voters towards No. Salmond's win this week shifted 3 points worth of voters towards Yes. Quite aside from the fact that a 3-point swing is within the margin of error, Salmond ought to be very worried that his last game changing opportunity has sailed off into the sunset without changing anything much at all.

Better Together can't afford to take its foot off the pedal, but it is very hard to see where the Yes camp is going to get the votes from in the next 3 weeks. Even hoovering up every singe undecided isn't going to do it. And in any case, recent polling data (trying to remember which one it was) suggested that, when squeezed, the DKs are likely to come down 2:1 in favour of No.
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Old 29-08-2014, 19:53   #1842
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Oh dear, some Yessers are taking things too far...
Quote:
Labour MP Jim Murphy has suspended his Scotland-wide tour ahead of the independence referendum, citing "co-ordinated abuse" from "Yes" voters.

Mr Murphy, who was hit by eggs on Thursday, claimed the Yes Scotland campaign was organising "mobs" to intimidate him and undecided voters.
Link
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Old 29-08-2014, 19:55   #1843
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Clearly they're not very confident that they can win the argument. They're behaving like little more than a rabble and Scotland should be ashamed of them.
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Old 01-09-2014, 08:47   #1844
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

The knives are out already ...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...r-No-vote.html

Quote:
Nicola Sturgeon and John Swinney have ordered civil servants to start planning for a No vote in the independence referendum amid concerns the SNP administration would represent a ‘dead duck’ government, the Telegraph can disclose today.

Scottish Government officials are drawing up a contingency plan to be implemented immediately after separation being rejected on September 18 to ensure Nationalist ministers do not limp towards the 2016 Holyrood election.

Senior sources said Ms Sturgeon, who could succeed Mr Salmond as First Minister if there is a No vote, and Mr Swinney, the Scottish Finance Minister, are behind the initiative to “move on very, very quickly” after the vote.
No role for Eck in their plans, then. Strange, that ...
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Old 01-09-2014, 11:46   #1845
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
The knives are out already ...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...r-No-vote.html



No role for Eck in their plans, then. Strange, that ...
Maybe Sean Connery needs a new gardener...
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