05-11-2024, 17:53
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#481
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,719
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Re: US Election 2024
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
I guess it’ll be lunchtime tomorrow when we get a pretty good idea of what happened.
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We might get an idea tonight if the polls are wrong in one direction or another. A lot of the states we need to see the results for will be the first to close. Fewer mail in ballots this time so counting should be quicker.
If we get a Harris win in North Carolina or Georgia, or either wins Pennsylvania overnight that would go a long way.
In the event Harris has won because of a surge in female voters then I think we would know that early. You would see the signs in the early states and she would win some we didn't expect. She could cut off Trump's chances quite quickly.
In the event Trump has won 2016 style we would know that early as well with better-than-expected returns from Pennsylvania, better than last time, showing him on course to win that.
I think if the theory that women will be the surprise factor in this election - and undercounted in the polls - is true then Harris wins in a landslide. It's a demographic that's enough to carry so many 'tight' states for her.
Last edited by Damien; 05-11-2024 at 18:03.
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05-11-2024, 20:09
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#482
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The Dark Satanic Mills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: floating in the ether
Posts: 12,985
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Re: US Election 2024
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
then Harris wins in a landslide.
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I doubt there will be a landslide of any type or cause. I reckon both sides will be arguing this until the weekend.
Hope I’m wrong. Regardless of who wins, the best outcome will be a clear result.
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The wheel's still turning but the hamsters dead.
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05-11-2024, 20:52
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#483
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,719
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Re: US Election 2024
Some Republican accounts have become extremely confident in the last few hours claiming huge returns in Florida, Nevada and Arizona
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05-11-2024, 21:16
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#484
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Trollsplatter
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: North of Watford
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Posts: 38,049
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Re: US Election 2024
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
Some Republican accounts have become extremely confident in the last few hours claiming huge returns in Florida, Nevada and Arizona
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I’m seeing GOP and Dem accounts making mutually contradictory claims about the same places. At this point one or both are engaged in voter suppression, trying to make the opposition depressed and decide there’s no point.
I wouldn’t be remotely surprised if the GOP-supporting accounts are being amplified on Elon’s orders. I never engage with them and by rights the algorithm should note that and modify my ‘for you’ feed accordingly, but they’re multiplying with each passing hour at the moment.
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05-11-2024, 23:52
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#485
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cf.mega poster
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Re: US Election 2024
I have a feeling it'll be a Trump victory though its not one i want. after everything trump is still neck and neck with Harris AFTER EVERYTHING.
I think the dems wont be as eager to come out and vote this time because of Kamala and the fact they may have forgotten the first trump presidency... The maga lot are ridiculously loyal to Donald.
Lots of talk about immigration and the economy but trump didn't do anything about immigration the first time and the economy is better under biden now but gotta give it to trump he's masterful at speeches.
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06-11-2024, 00:41
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#486
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,719
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Re: US Election 2024
Quite a lot of shift to Trump in some rural areas.
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06-11-2024, 00:53
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#487
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cf.mega poster
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Re: US Election 2024
trump doing a lot stronger than I thought already. in 2020 trump led again but then the mail in ballots were opened and biden surpassed trump. we know this year mail in ballots will play much less of a role
As of 7:25pm ET, Donald Trump has a 61% chance of winning the presidency.
Last edited by vincerooney; 06-11-2024 at 00:56.
Reason: .
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06-11-2024, 01:22
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#488
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cf.mega pornstar
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 19,155
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Re: US Election 2024
Quote:
Originally Posted by vincerooney
As of 7:25pm ET, Donald Trump has a 61% chance of winning the presidency.
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Is that the nonsense tv channels are spouting, honestly, it's far too early to be giving any sort of accurate overall indication of a winner, what I would say though is based on what we actually know so far is that Harris should be pretty happy, especially with Pennsylvania
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06-11-2024, 03:18
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#489
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Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,719
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Re: US Election 2024
So we're not getting a landslide for Harris. The polls seem to be right.
---------- Post added at 02:24 ---------- Previous post was at 01:52 ----------
Moving more and more towards Trump, very much like 2016 so far...
---------- Post added at 03:18 ---------- Previous post was at 02:24 ----------
Very much looks like Trump is gonna win this. See in the morning.
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06-11-2024, 05:03
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#490
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Dr Pepper Addict
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Join Date: Oct 2003
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Posts: 29,580
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Re: US Election 2024
Trump appears to be in the lead atm, 230 v 169, with 14 results (States ?) to go, vote wise, he has 51.1 % atm.
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Baby, I was born this way.
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06-11-2024, 05:23
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#491
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cf.mega poster
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 15,164
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Re: US Election 2024
Trump still in the lead and has taken the swing state of Nirth Carolina. But gap has narrowed with Trump on 230 and Harris on 210.
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06-11-2024, 07:25
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#492
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cf.mega poster
Join Date: Apr 2004
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Re: US Election 2024
Now 266 v 194 for Trump,. 270 needed for a win.
Bit of a surprise for the gap to be that big.
---------- Post added at 07:25 ---------- Previous post was at 07:23 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1
Trump still in the lead and has taken the swing state of Nirth Carolina. But gap has narrowed with Trump on 230 and Harris on 210.
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Where did you get that "210" from?
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06-11-2024, 07:26
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#493
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Still alive and fighting
Join Date: Jun 2007
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Posts: 56,635
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Re: US Election 2024
God help us!!!!!
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“The only lesson you can learn from history is that it repeats itself”
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06-11-2024, 07:32
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#494
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XIV
Join Date: Dec 2009
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Posts: 14,849
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Re: US Election 2024
Yes America!
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06-11-2024, 07:48
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#495
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Do I care what you think
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Cardiff South Wales
Age: 74
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Re: US Election 2024
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
I doubt there will be a landslide of any type or cause. I reckon both sides will be arguing this until the weekend.
Hope I’m wrong. Regardless of who wins, the best outcome will be a clear result.
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Not a landslide,  I told you guys , watch out Kier
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