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Old 20-04-2020, 12:07   #2356
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Re: Coronavirus

The £10k could get burnt through fairly quickly if (and it's a big if) the staff are not already set up for mobile working. Looking at my home setup, I have;

Laptop - £1700 (our standard laptops are £1000)
Monitor - £200
Keyboard and Mouse - £75
Phone - £550
Chair - £400
Desk - £400
Printer - £130
Headset - £70
Plus software licences, setup costs, VPN, etc.

It all adds up pretty quickly...
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Old 20-04-2020, 12:35   #2357
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mick View Post
Damien, I’m not saying the government cannot be held to account, hell, I don’t agree with our borders being open, people not being adequately tested if they’re from hot CV zones.

But if people want to be critical, they have to be correct and fair in their criticism. That means, if they’re going to accuse the Prime Minister of not listening, when he actually was, then need to be spot on in their assertions.

That Sunday Times hit piece was an absolute disgrace, did you watch the clip of Maajid Nawaz, I linked to above?

He is absolutely spot on, I urge people to listen to what he says. Again, it highlights hindsight is a good thing, but we cannot blame any one for not having it, including the UK Government, for not having hindsight, but the Sunday Times is trying to rewrite history here and it’s is totally wrong.
I did listen to the clip but I think it's nuts to suggest Murdoch wants Boris Johnson out. It overstates the degree to which a newspaper owner imposes their own politics onto each and every edition, they may have an editorial line in favour of the owner but that doesn't mean every article is in pursuit of that goal. The Times especially has a greater degree of independence than The Sun. It would be the latter that would be making moves if this really was a goal of Murdoch.

As for judging in hindsight then if we're not careful then you can use that to excuse anything. It just becomes an excuse to never to critique the Government because they'll never know everything that's about to happen. The questions are the degree to which they could have predicted future events, the role their existing management of the country helped or hindered a response to those events and what they did when those events occurred.

In hindsight Labour couldn't have predicted the 2008 crash. However should they have paid more attention to regulation of the financial crisis before it? Should they have paid more attention to the warning lights flashing in the year or so preceding the collapse of Lehman Brothers? Are they to blame for the state of the economy and it's ability to cope when the crash did occur?

The Government will in time face similar questions. Did they pay enough attention in the early part of the year? Should the NHS have been in a better position to respond? Did they pay enough attention to the reported results where we simulated the impact of a viral pandemic?

I think the Government did well when the crisis did come but the question of if we could have been better prepared is still open.
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Old 20-04-2020, 13:10   #2358
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post

In hindsight Labour couldn't have predicted the 2008 crash. However should they have paid more attention to regulation of the financial crisis before it? Should they have paid more attention to the warning lights flashing in the year or so preceding the collapse of Lehman Brothers? Are they to blame for the state of the economy and it's ability to cope when the crash did occur?
I think the criticism was at the state of the nations finances when the crash came as not only had the Labour Govt enjoyed a buoyant economy and spent the revenues earned, but they had also borrowed big time during the same period.

Quote:
The Government will in time face similar questions. Did they pay enough attention in the early part of the year? Should the NHS have been in a better position to respond? Did they pay enough attention to the reported results where we simulated the impact of a viral pandemic?
As I've said before, as far as I am aware (happy to be corrected) but so far, everyone that has needed an ICU bed has got one, and everybody that has needed ventilation has got it.

There has been no dying in the corridors, or doctors having to decide who gets the ventilator and lives and who doesn't and dies - as was reported to be happening in Italy at some hospitals.

The PPE issue is potentially where scrutiny can be given, did we have enough stockpiles (Y/N) if N why and if Y why was the logistics of getting it to the hospitals so bad?

Quote:
I think the Government did well when the crisis did come but the question of if we could have been better prepared is still open.
There is always things that can be done better, because no matter how well you prepare, you don't know how you will perform until tested in real life, and this pandemic was swift. If we had modelled how we respond in these situation based on Swine Flu & SARS then we wouldn't have measured up as COVID19 infection rate is miles worse that those two.

Personally I would give them a B+ at the moment, that may rise to an A- or A if they manage to steadily reduce infection and death from now and have a functioning economy come June.
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Old 20-04-2020, 13:18   #2359
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx View Post
The £10k could get burnt through fairly quickly if (and it's a big if) the staff are not already set up for mobile working. Looking at my home setup, I have;

Laptop - £1700 (our standard laptops are £1000)
Monitor - £200
Keyboard and Mouse - £75
Phone - £550
Chair - £400
Desk - £400
Printer - £130
Headset - £70
Plus software licences, setup costs, VPN, etc.

It all adds up pretty quickly...
If done properly, it would be Guvmin issue secure laptop using Guvmin purchasing arrangements. So nearer £1,000. The chair/desk/printer etc are likely to be at home anyway. So just an allowance to cover consumables. Software other than VPN can be covered by the Microsoft licence already in place. Setup costs would be covered by an essential Guvmin IT worker doing the rounds. £10K is well excessive.

Jon's calculation doesn't come near £10K.

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Old 20-04-2020, 13:31   #2360
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post
I did listen to the clip but I think it's nuts to suggest Murdoch wants Boris Johnson out. It overstates the degree to which a newspaper owner imposes their own politics onto each and every edition, they may have an editorial line in favour of the owner but that doesn't mean every article is in pursuit of that goal. The Times especially has a greater degree of independence than The Sun. It would be the latter that would be making moves if this really was a goal of Murdoch.

As for judging in hindsight then if we're not careful then you can use that to excuse anything. It just becomes an excuse to never to critique the Government because they'll never know everything that's about to happen. The questions are the degree to which they could have predicted future events, the role their existing management of the country helped or hindered a response to those events and what they did when those events occurred.

In hindsight Labour couldn't have predicted the 2008 crash. However should they have paid more attention to regulation of the financial crisis before it? Should they have paid more attention to the warning lights flashing in the year or so preceding the collapse of Lehman Brothers? Are they to blame for the state of the economy and it's ability to cope when the crash did occur?

The Government will in time face similar questions. Did they pay enough attention in the early part of the year? Should the NHS have been in a better position to respond? Did they pay enough attention to the reported results where we simulated the impact of a viral pandemic?

I think the Government did well when the crisis did come but the question of if we could have been better prepared is still open.
But Damien, the government listened to the advice they were given, they cannot do anything better than that, at the time, the World Health Organisation was playing the virus down significantly, so was SAGE and other government scientific bodies and now we know the whys and how, we cannot blame the government for following the Status Quo, that was, during January through Feb, the virus was played down and that was because the science behind the decisions, WHO listening to propaganda from China, you cannot expect any government to ignore advice that it was given or to act outside of it, especially if it involves peoples lives.

The timing of the lockdown was critical, I've said many times why and being in the healthcare sector myself, it totally makes sense to have done what the government did. To do so any earlier, to listen to the hysteria and screaming from certain quarters in the media, would have been a disaster, more than we are seeing now, 100K deaths for sure and an NHS on it's knees, as it stands, the government strategy has completely avoided this and this is what people don't get, they see the current death rate, compare it to other countries, which I don't deny is very high and behind each one, a tragic death, was a living and breathing person, they see that death rate and just scream incompetence.

It doesn't help when you have an hysterical media outlet, getting it's facts totally wrong, trying to rewrite history, writing stupid remarks, like the "PM missing Cobra meetings", which is the standard anyway and they knew that from the outset, it's just pathetic sensationalism, desperation to sell more papers because it is a dying and failing industry.
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Old 20-04-2020, 14:06   #2361
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by papa smurf View Post
will parents rush to send the kids back to school when they reopen?
I would think so. Many are pulling their hair out by now and cannot cope with the complexity of the school work!
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Old 20-04-2020, 14:08   #2362
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sephiroth View Post
Jon's calculation doesn't come near £10K
Are you using Priti Patel's calculator?

John's calcs for one person come to over £3.5k. Multiple that by three people.
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Old 20-04-2020, 14:12   #2363
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre View Post
There is always things that can be done better, because no matter how well you prepare, you don't know how you will perform until tested in real life, and this pandemic was swift. If we had modelled how we respond in these situation based on Swine Flu & SARS then we wouldn't have measured up as COVID19 infection rate is miles worse that those two.

Personally I would give them a B+ at the moment, that may rise to an A- or A if they manage to steadily reduce infection and death from now and have a functioning economy come June.
We do have one of the highest death counts in Europe though so until we understand why an 'A' grade might be optimistic. I suspect that's more about lockdown timing though.

Looking at one of the most successful countries - Germany - getting on top of the testing situation might have been beneficial too. The people who get infected, and where, make a difference though which may also have helped Germany.

---------- Post added at 14:12 ---------- Previous post was at 14:10 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mick View Post
But Damien, the government listened to the advice they were given, they cannot do anything better than that, at the time, the World Health Organisation was playing the virus down significantly, so was SAGE and other government scientific bodies and now we know the whys and how, we cannot blame the government for following the Status Quo, that was, during January through Feb, the virus was played down and that was because the science behind the decisions, WHO listening to propaganda from China, you cannot expect any government to ignore advice that it was given or to act outside of it, especially if it involves peoples lives.
We don't know precisely what advice they were given prior to the Imperial College Report as that hasn't been published.

Quote:
The timing of the lockdown was critical, I've said many times why and being in the healthcare sector myself, it totally makes sense to have done what the government did. To do so any earlier, to listen to the hysteria and screaming from certain quarters in the media, would have been a disaster, more than we are seeing now, 100K deaths for sure and an NHS on it's knees, as it stands, the government strategy has completely avoided this and this is what people don't get, they see the current death rate, compare it to other countries, which I don't deny is very high and behind each one, a tragic death, was a living and breathing person, they see that death rate and just scream incompetence.
Why would have an earlier lockdown seen 100k deaths?
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Old 20-04-2020, 15:00   #2364
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post



Why would have an earlier lockdown seen 100k deaths?
Because it was not at the beginning of the curve towards the peak, you introduce a lockdown, at the wrong time, it's going to have exponential ramifications down the line, NHS will get overwhelmed, when an early and unnecessary lockdown lifts and you still have a 66 Million people population susceptible to still getting Covid-19, many people will not be able to get treated, because all the ICU beds are full, all the hospital corridors, waiting rooms get swamped, thousands more people will die and they cannot get treated because the NHS has fallen apart, it's been swamped with an overburden of new Covid-19 infections, throughout the entire UK.

The science is there, I thought this guy in this video that I shared back in March, explained in basic terms why you cannot just introduce a lockdown right at the beginning of a few cases of Coronavirus....

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Old 20-04-2020, 16:16   #2365
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mick View Post
Because it was not at the beginning of the curve towards the peak, you introduce a lockdown, at the wrong time, it's going to have exponential ramifications down the line, NHS will get overwhelmed, when an early and unnecessary lockdown lifts and you still have a 66 Million people population susceptible to still getting Covid-19, many people will not be able to get treated, because all the ICU beds are full, all the hospital corridors, waiting rooms get swamped and thousands more people will die because they cannot get treated because the NHS has fallen apart because it's been swamped with an overburden of new Covid-19 infections, throught the entire UK.

The science is there, I thought this guy in this video that I shared back in March, explained in basic terms why you cannot just introduce a lockdown right at the beginning of a few cases of Coronavirus....
Sure but that was the initial strategy which changed after the publication of the Imperial College Report. The concept there is a the herd immunity one whereby we accept most of the population will manage it so we control the flow as to not overload ICU capacity.

What changed was that the demand on beds was a lot higher than expected, we'll see what happens but the Government might be going for a hybrid approach.
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Old 20-04-2020, 16:19   #2366
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Re: Coronavirus

Some thoughts here from former PM Tony Blair as he publishes a potential exit plan from lockdown.

https://institute.global/sites/defau...ing%20Harm.pdf
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Old 20-04-2020, 16:25   #2367
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Re: Coronavirus

Mr Blair’s plan for exiting the Brexit process didn’t work out too well for him. I can’t imagine whatever hare brained, nakedly political wheeze he’s come up with now will fare any better.
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Old 20-04-2020, 17:30   #2368
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone View Post
Some thoughts here from former PM Tony Blair as he publishes a potential exit plan from lockdown.

https://institute.global/sites/defau...ing%20Harm.pdf
Lest anyone gets excited and starts criticising the report because of Tony Blair's political views on Iraq or Brexit...
The report is from The Tony Blair Institute for Global Change, and is written by five people, none of whom is a Tony or a Blair.
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Old 20-04-2020, 17:38   #2369
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Re: Coronavirus

Yup. Hard to believe they’re not expressing an opinion consistent with their employers though.
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Old 20-04-2020, 18:47   #2370
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Re: Coronavirus

This perfectly sums up how feel about the media currently.

https://www.effiedeans.com/2020/04/j...d-country.html
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