Whats the odds of this?

[TheBlueRaja]

Playing poker at the weekend against a mate - who now incidentally owes me an XBox 360 for his troubles (arent mates great ) and after i took him for house and home he was complaining about his luck that night.

So we played a 50/50 game where there was no money involved and just the luck of the draw of the cards from the deck that could affect who would win. The game was texas holdem so it was the best 5 card hand out of 7 cards (the difference being the two delt to each player).

Amazingly i won 12 times in a row - therefore in a game where statistically there is a 50/50 chance of each player being able to win i continued to win for 12 games straight.

We were both shuffling and both dealing to ensure there was no foul play and both sat there stunned at what was coming out.

Any ideas of the odds on this?

Originally Posted by TheBlueRaja

Amazingly i won 12 times in a row - therefore in a game where statistically there is a 50/50 chance of each player being able to win i continued to win for 12 games straight.

Originally Posted by TheBlueRaja

Any ideas of the odds on this?

1:4096 - assuming 50/50 odds on each game...

Bloody good as it happened Shame you wasnt fleecing him along the way but least you will get the xbox

[bopdude]

Probably the odds are / would be 50 / 50 over time and hands between 2 players, must admit, sounds like he owes ya more

[Saaf_laandon_mo]

Odds are that if you were playing for money, he would have definately won lol

[TheBlueRaja]

Originally Posted by ScaredWebWarrior

1:4096 - assuming 50/50 odds on each game...

Coooo! T'was a good night for Poker!

I like those odds!

[Graham]

Originally Posted by TheBlueRaja

Coooo! T'was a good night for Poker!

I like those odds!

Remember, though, that the cards have no memory, so the odds, whilst long, are perfectly feasible and each game is still 50/50, just as they are for the chances of flipping 12 heads in a row.

The odds for the next game/ flip will stay at 50/50.

[danielf]

Originally Posted by ScaredWebWarrior

1:4096 - assuming 50/50 odds on each game...

yup, the probability is .5 ^12

---------- Post added at 18:54 ---------- Previous post was at 18:50 ----------

Originally Posted by Graham

The odds for the next game/ flip will stay at 50/50.

And if you think otherwise, you'd be committing the gambler's fallacy

[TheBlueRaja]

Funny also how on the 13th hand i lost....

Didnt think about that until just now...

[cookie_365]

But the odds of either player winning 12 in a row are 1:2048 - because it doesn't matter who wins the first game, so long as they string together another 11 wins in a row.