23-07-2016, 13:49
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#1306
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laeva recumbens anguis
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Brian
With 85% of the questionnaires in, I am fairly certain whatever the final 15% of them contains, it isn't going to change the outcome much.
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Not sure how they can publish full July figures that quickly.
Remember Stats are just that.
Not fully as there is only 85% but it gives them a good idea from those 6oo firms. Ask another 600 firms and you would get a different answer.
---------- Post added at 10:16 ---------- Previous post was at 10:09 ----------
It has never been denied even by us leavers there will be a mini recession. The then Chancellor said 2 quarters and that sounds about right. However, he also said it would be immediate which is bunkum. Yes he did and his argument was why plunge ourselves deliberately into a mini recession?
The point is that it's not going to be the doom and gloom predicted. They're not investing because it's a bad thing, they are waiting to see how things go with the talks. The delay of A50 is going to cause more uncertainty and may even push any recession into 3 or even 4 quarters. That's not the fault of we who voted leave, its the fault of not invoking A50 when Cameron himself said he'd do it straight away.
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That's not how polling works - a representative cross-section are polled, not just random companies...
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23-07-2016, 14:29
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#1307
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cf.mega poster
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
The easiest way to get a representative cross-section is to ask random companies. If this isn't representative you just add more random samples.
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23-07-2016, 14:29
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#1308
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Inactive
Join Date: Mar 2016
Posts: 573
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
That's not how polling works - a representative cross-section are polled, not just random companies...
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Believe that if you like. They asked all the companies directly effected by leaving the EU I bet.
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23-07-2016, 14:38
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#1309
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laeva recumbens anguis
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Brian
Believe that if you like. They asked all the companies directly effected by leaving the EU I bet.
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You need to look up 'confirmation bias'.... 
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23-07-2016, 15:16
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#1310
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Still alive and fighting
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Brian
Believe that if you like. They asked all the companies directly effected by leaving the EU I bet.
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Why would they do that?.
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“The only lesson you can learn from history is that it repeats itself”
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23-07-2016, 16:36
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#1311
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Inactive
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Leeds, West Yorkshire
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
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23-07-2016, 16:51
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#1312
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laeva recumbens anguis
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ignitionnet
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Have they found Diana?
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23-07-2016, 17:09
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#1313
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cf.mega pornstar
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
Have they found Diana?
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I wish the express were leavers, as in they'd leave Diana alone, leave maddy alone etc
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23-07-2016, 17:17
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#1314
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Still alive and fighting
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ignitionnet
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There is only one place for that newspaper and we all know where that is...
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“The only lesson you can learn from history is that it repeats itself”
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23-07-2016, 18:22
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#1315
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laeva recumbens anguis
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
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23-07-2016, 21:17
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#1316
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Inactive
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Very kind of you to doff your cap, Sir.
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24-07-2016, 10:26
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#1317
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Inactive
Join Date: Mar 2016
Posts: 573
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone
Why would they do that?.
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To get the result they want. You can do a lot with stats if you ask the right people and questions.
---------- Post added at 09:20 ---------- Previous post was at 09:17 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ignitionnet
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Well that's all right then. God's in His Heaven and all is well. Are we still going to get this recession or not?
---------- Post added at 09:22 ---------- Previous post was at 09:20 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone
There is only one place for that newspaper and we all know where that is...
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Unfortunately, I have no garden rubbish to burn.
---------- Post added at 09:26 ---------- Previous post was at 09:22 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
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They are only cutting these figures because of uncertainty. What they don't realise is when we grow more than they say, we will look good and it will only prove voting leave was the right thing to do.
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24-07-2016, 10:55
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#1318
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laeva recumbens anguis
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
The link was to a comedy site - it's not a real story....
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24-07-2016, 11:17
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#1319
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Deus Vult
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
lol
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24-07-2016, 15:27
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#1320
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Inactive
Join Date: Mar 2016
Posts: 573
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Where are you all hiding? This thread seams dead.
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