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Re: North Korea's 'biggest' nuclear test
There's no peace to be had if anyone marches in, any first strike initiative from any country, China or US would result in Seoul being peppered with Artillery and very possibly a Nuclear device. Which means any ideas of striking first would have to see Seoul evacuated, a move North Korea would know was a preparation for a first strike.
Kim Jong Un isn't a man that'll be seen to back down in public, he'll cower away in a shelter and dictate from there raining down hellfire that'll result in mass casualties in both Korea's before giving himself in like a coward.
China can't get them to stop assembling a Nuclear device never mind achieve a peaceful negotiation. The fantasy idea of any country just marching in there is just that, fantasy. We're dealing with a very volatile, hostile country.
The ideal scenario, which is even more fantasy like is a joint operation by both the US and China to covertly remove or assassinate Kim Jong Un, removing him and his Military officials from power and installing their own form of Government, keeping the 25 million population at bay and making an attempt to create some form of legit economy.
Naturally there's just as many issues with that.
- They'll be all too happy to try and unify Korea, something the South could not afford, something which would antagonize US-China relations, having an American Ally with an American military presence on it's doorstep.
- Rebuilding a stable economy with less than skilled workers is no easy mountain to climb.
- There's just no perfect scenario for this. As Igi put above, isn't worth the grief, if anyone takes action, someone somewhere will take a hit, whether it be in money, refugees, mass casualties.
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All posts are the opinion of myself and don't reflect those of BT or Openreach.
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