Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
Really?
Even if we vaccinate at the rate of a million per week, it will take over a year to hit 70% of the population (herd immunity levels)
And the CMOs say there will be vaccine shortages for the next couple of months.
https://www.ft.com/content/d97c72c5-...c-9cc10b21f007 |
We’re not going from a standing start. 2.5M have already tested positive.
Statistical analysis suggest up 19M may have had it. (That was back in May, the accuracy of the method used has been questioned but still, the number will be a large number)
https://fullfact.org/health/19m-coronavirus-manchester/
So it is quite reasonable to suggest around 20M, have had it.
So we would be starting from 30% of the population having immunity through infection ( not even taking into account those already immune)
70% would be 46M, so 26M at a 1M = 26 weeks, all done by June with a fair wind behind us.