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Old 16-09-2019, 19:24   #30
Damien
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Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
Given the article you posted the other day speculating as to the nature of the weakness in the Benn Act (it was you, wasn’t it?), there’s an interesting conundrum brewing.
Yeah.

Quote:
If Bozza comes back to Westminster with a draft deal and puts it before Parliament, what is the rebel alliance to do next? As the Benn Act is seemingly overridden, in the presence of an agreed deal, by provisions in the earlier legislation, then if they approve it they lose their last possible means of delaying Brexit long enough to push public opinion in favour of another referendum (and, let’s be honest, cancelling Brexit by fair means or foul is all they’re really interested in).

But if they don’t vote for any modified withdrawal agreement Bozza brings back from Brussels, what then? The cat is out of the bag; it becomes abundantly clear that Parliament can’t, or won’t, affirm anything whatsoever with regards to Brexit. What moral high ground Jezza thinks he has, vanishes faster than ice in Greenland. Even if Boris actually doesn’t have a loophole in his back pocket, standing up against that will make him riotously popular.
I think they're probably working that out now. It would put them in a bind but some will break away as there are MPs who really do just want to avoid No Deal so he'll pull some Tories back - like Rory Stewart - and win a chunk of Labour leavers over too so if the ERG don't play up he might have the numbers either way.

They might want a way to ensure he can't avoid letting them pass the legislation required to secure the deal with the EU though and since time would be of the essence there is the prospect of demanding a couple of weeks extension.
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