Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
Unless Labour does worse than 2019, which is unlikely at the moment, he probably would have lost his seat given the wafer-thin majority.
Not talking about this current surge of polling for Labour, which will drop at some point, either but for a long time now Labour have been outperforming their polling in the seats lost in 2019 so Bury South would have been one of the top targets.
In fact just looked it up. It would be 3rd on their list: http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/bat...targets/labour
So if you take the national swing only then Labour would (in theory) capture Bury South with a 3 seat gain. |
Yes I see that, but would people actually vote for someone who, possibly, would turn again if he got upset by something Labour did . . . and Labour doesn't have a clean track record when it comes to infighting does it, so he may well be off again at some time
