Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
I’m confident, if push did come to shove, and if there was another referendum in 2022 - 2024. They would still stay in the U.K.
I also think the SNP are playing a strange game. At the moment they can ride it all and still seem somewhat relevant . But if there was another referendum, and they lost. What is the point of them?
Be careful what you wish for.
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This is all party management. The proper headbangers in her party are as convinced they’d win indyref2 as they were about winning the first one. Their enthusiasm is undimmed by the minor setback of 2014 which as far as they’re concerned is entirely down to Westminster lies that they now know about and will effectively counter next time.
Sturgeon on the other hand understands the risks of going too soon. Her true position is the one she expressed in 2015 - there needs to be sustained poll support above 60% for a second referendum to be worth the risk.
She needs to sound like a zealot in public to avoid getting defenestrated by said headbangers, who joined the party in droves at the end of 2014, while at the same time ensuring she doesn’t actually get a referendum until it looks winnable. To be fair to her she is right where she wants to be at the moment, with her theatrical demands being rebuffed by a posh English Tory. She’s hoping that nationalistic outrage will now shift the polls in her favour.