Thread: Brexit
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Old 13-04-2019, 10:36   #1572
OLD BOY
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Re: Brexit
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
On the contrary, Farage is popular. He’s just not quite popular enough to win a first past the post Westminster election. He is also marmite ... relatively few people are ambivalent towards him. It’s love or hate. There was no way he could ever win over the soft middle ground in the referendum. That was down to Boris, with his appeal further broadened by a couple of accessible Labour leavers like Gisela Stuart and Frank Field. Yet it’s fairly clear there was, at some level, an understanding that the official leave campaign would leave Farage alone to do dog whistle campaigning among those who do like him.

The EU elections are proportional, but given the number of seats available the proportionality is only rough and smaller parties can still lose out. So a lot will depend on how far the Leave vote splits between The Brexit Party (Farage) and UKIP (now infested with BNP and EDL entryists and other assorted nut jobs).

The Brexit Party wouldn’t stand a chance with anyone else in charge but with Farage front and centre, his appeal to the bulk of the Brexit-minded electorate shouldn’t be underestimated.
This time, though, it's different. Many voters tend to stick fairly consistently with one party. If an EU election takes place here, an angry public is likely to ditch their normal loyalties and vote for the Brexit Party. That will be an unmistakeable message to Parliament to stop fiddling around and get on with the job of leaving.
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