Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
I haven’t read the link, but I have watched the news conference and read other information and I think it’s a sensible solid roadmap.
People will say that this is what we should have done in Autumn last year, but we didn’t have the vaccine then. This is good and clear direction from HMG.
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I agree but it appears SAGE don't like it.
Quote:
Modelling indicates that relaxation of measures over six or nine months results in much smaller subsequent epidemic waves than relaxing measures over three months. Relaxation of a significant number of restrictions over three months starting from the beginning of April couldlead to hospital occupancy higher than the January peakwhereas relaxation over nine months would result in a much smaller peak(medium confidence, the modelling has some uncertainties and does not include seasonal changes).Retaininga baseline set of measures to reduce transmission even after otherrestrictions have been lifted would also reduce the scaleof a resurgence (high confidence).These and potentially additional measures may be needed throughout Winter 2021/22
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https://assets.publishing.service.go...79_Minutes.pdf