Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
Except, obviously, a second Referendum...
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I think many bods will have their calculators out on May 24th. To do some sums such as:
% that turned out to vote
% that vote Brexit
% that vote LibDem, Green, Change and to some degree SNP
Then they have to make an assumption of how many Leave supporters would vote Labour and Tory regardless.
Then try and extrapolate that into a referendum result.
It will be interesting to see if the appetite for a 2nd Ref is still so great after the elections, because lose a 2nd Ref and that’s it there’s no debate left or wiggle room to try and engineer a way to stay in.
Therefore why would you campaign for a 2nd Ref if you’re likely to lose it? Or if it’s too close to call? Better to try and thwart Brexit another way.
That said if Remain looks strong enough then a 2nd Ref is most likely a certainty as the spineless parliamentarians will see it as their way out of this.