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Originally Posted by Mr K
1 in 4 of the electorate. (conservative votes last election 11.3 million, electorate 46.4 million - 24.3%, ie. less than 1 in 4 of those eligible to vote.
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Oh, you're counting those who didn't vote in your calculation - unusual.
But in the real world, Cameron won...
btw, you may find this of interest.
http://ukgeneralelection2020.blogspo....html?spref=fb
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Current Probability of possible outcomes #UKGE2020 by Electoral Calculus
CON MAJ 72%
LAB MAJ 1%
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Quote:
Probability of possible outcomes
Conservative majority 72%
Con/Nat coalition 15%
Con choice of Lib/Nat 6%
Nat choice of Con/Lab 4%
Lab/Nat coalition 2%
Lab choice of Lib/Nat 1%
Labour majority 1%
The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election. ('Nat' means SNP+PlaidC)
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