Chris

This is absurd and everyone needs to take a step back and a deep breath.

The Lib Dems surged in 2015 after the leaders TV debates and they eventually did well but nowhere near the landslide that first appeared.

The SDP surged in the polls after they were formed in 1981 and reached 50% in at least one opinion poll that year. Their vote share in alliance with the Liberals was eventually in the mid 20s% at the 1983 election.

General elections are big beasts and voters know their importance. They don’t change their allegiances easily, regardless of what they say in mid-term polls - consider how little has changed in terms of vote share since 2005. It’s less than you might think.

The polls should certainly give both Tory and Labour strategists sleepless nights and there’s no doubt the Brexit party would be extremely disruptive if an election was held any time soon, and before Brexit has actually happened. But the idea that Farage is going to win 306 seats is laughable. If he came away with even 36 that would be revolutionary.