View Single Post
Old 12-06-2019, 16:17   #215
Damien
Remoaner
Cable Forum Team
 
Damien's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 32,221
Damien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver bling
Damien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver blingDamien has a lot of silver bling
Re: Leadership who is the next PM?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
I understand the recognition argument so far as it affects the other candidates but that argument seems to depend on increased recognition for, say Jeremy Hunt, resulting in less recognition for Boris Johnson. The ComRes poll data that the Torygraph has relied on for its headline doesn’t ask voters to choose between candidates, it asks them who they would vote for in a general election, multiple times, each time with a different person in charge of the Tory party.
.
But that's the central objection to what the Telegraph has done. It's not so much that Boris has done well, although they do question the extent to which such a hypothetical is useful at all, but that they've compared him with full name recognition to everyone else then projected that to seat outcomes in an election. In the underlying data there is 31% DK voting intention with Stewart as leader.

Does the poll show Boris is the most popular of the candidates? Yes. Does it show he is the difference between a huge majority and the Tories losing over 100 seats? Not really.

You're taking what appears to simply be legitimate objections to that as being motivated by a metropolitan elite fear of Boris Johnson. It's just a crap way to report the results.

As an aside I think you overestimate the degree to which the liberal left cares about the Corbyn project. It's no more a singular bloc than the right is. The surge of support for the Liberal Democrats and the clearly soft numbers for Corbyn show how little of a base Corbyn's Labour actually has.

Last edited by Damien; 12-06-2019 at 16:25.
Damien is offline