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Old 17-12-2021, 09:41   #15
Damien
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Re: Will Johnson be PM in 2023? Liberal Democrats comfortably take North Shropshire

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre View Post
Of course anything is possible, but when push comes to shove, I cannot see Starmer and the Current Labour from bench overturning an 80 seat majority.

Labour have done nothing to earn their « current « rise in the polls, if and when the Tories get their house back in order Labour will have to something other than just supporting the government COVID restrictions. Contrary to what YouGov polls might say I don’t think there is much appetite for COVID passports and tighter restrictions….and that’s all Labour offer.

If they were really fighting for government they were a long long way back in this election
At the moment the 80-seat deficit is daunting for sure but the difference with Starmer over Corbyn is he isn't actively hated. People are indifferent towards him.

The biggest problem for the Tories will be inflation, rising interest rates, the rising cost of living and COVID having pushed the NHS to breaking point which will be noticed in years to come in delayed appointments. It won't be easy for the Tories to 'get their house in order' after all not breaking your own COVID laws to hold a Christmas Party should be the easy part for them.

---------- Post added at 09:41 ---------- Previous post was at 09:36 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
BoJo’s defeat last night was so big, perhaps you failed to notice Labour not winning. In fact they suffered a 10 point loss on their 2019 performance. Hardly a ringing endorsement of the Leader of the Opposition.
That's being put down to tactical voting though. The same as Bexley where informally Liberal Democrats voted Labour. Certainly, Labour HQ wasn't throwing themselves at this seat. Nationally Labour is polling far higher than they were the last time this seat was contested in 2019 so the only way a 10 point loss makes sense is if Labour voters smelled blood and went Lib Dem.
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