Thread: Coronavirus (OLD)
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Old 22-06-2020, 11:04   #4153
OLD BOY
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Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman View Post
Simply not an option unfortunately - the cost in terms of human lives is too great, it'd be politically unacceptable. Equally, there's guarantee of long term immunity at all and the long term health effects on those who do survive is unknown.


You are assuming that we don't get better at treatments and that a vaccine wouldn't be developed.


The economy won't recover until the health crisis has been resolved. Your proposal to let a deadly virus pass through the population doesn't bode well for consumer confidence.

Until people believe they can go around their daily lives with little/no risk the economy is going to go down and unemployment up.
Protecting the vulnerable is all that's required. Shutting down the economy is not something that can be sustained, repeated or enforced.

In comparing the number of deaths in this country with that of others, I stand by my statement that it is too early to make those comparisons. Not only will there be future waves, but we are all counting differently.

Most people accept that we have to get the country back to work now, and if we have to mandate that masks be worn and proective screens erected to reassure those who are scared, so be it. But the economy must be working effectively again without delay.

---------- Post added at 11:02 ---------- Previous post was at 10:59 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sephiroth View Post
It strikes me that in the UK with 1300 new cases or thereabouts per day, if we allow too much assembly too soon it is a given that our R number will rise in such localities.
Doesn't it depend on what further measures are put in place?

---------- Post added at 11:04 ---------- Previous post was at 11:02 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
As originally planned, until the modelling showed the social and economic cost of having that many people sick so quickly was unbearable. HMG dropped it pretty quickly and won’t be going back. Herd immunity will now only arise from a vaccination programme.
Had they simply protected the vulnerable, the numbers would not have been anywhere near as high as they have been and the economy would still be in good shape. There was no need for this global over-reaction.
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