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Originally Posted by Xaccers
Frederick Forsyth explained the pointlessness of national polls this morning on Radio 4
If labour wins a constituancy with a majority of 10,000, then they've still only won a single constituancy, but if the tories wins 10 constituancies with a majority of only 200 in each, then they've still beaten labour.
So if the 40% of mori poll respondees who say they're voting labour are concentrated in fewer constituancies than those voting against labour, labour could be in trouble  |
That theory would be fine except for the fact that due to most Scottish & Welsh constituancies voting Labour, and the effect that the last change in the boundaries had in making large numbers of former Tory safe seats into marginals, it would need a swing of over 42% to the Tories for Labour to lose. One of the best reasons I can think of for some from of PR or an exclusively 'English' parliament.