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Originally Posted by Chris T
For Lab/Con marginals I adjusted Con +3 and Lab -3. For Con/Lib it was Con +5, Lib -5 (because at the last two elections the Lib Dems have atracted a lot of disaffected Tory votes, and I don't think they'll last), and for Lab/Lib marginals I adjusted Lib +5, Lab -5. All other boxes were zero.
The total number of seats gained and lost in my scenario is shown in the results page in my link.
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Thats a lot of presumptions
7% away from labour in marignals on top of the 5% already done on the yougov poll. Thats 13% swing away from labour in those seats. Labour may be unpopular at the moment but its no where near that type of swing