[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by 1andrew1

Reform seems to have hit a brick wall. It's done well in local government elections but has failed to win the last three by-elections. It still remains dependent on Farage's personality which is a risk particularly given the investigation into his undisclosed £5m gift.

Farage's own popularity has decreased (65% have an unfavourable opinion of him v 59% a year ago) and the Party's appeal to women has inevitably suffered after poor vetting of its Makerfield candidate let in someone who had previously proclaimed himself a sexist.

Mostly right, Andrew. Just the £5m gift remark: I think that’s now yesterday’s story and thus no longer material.

As I’ve already said, peak Reform UK has passed - for now because the British public is fickle.


---------- Post added at 08:53 ---------- Previous post was at 08:50 ----------

Originally Posted by 1andrew1

Makerfield, Aberdeen South, Caerphilly, Gorton & Denton show it's more than "possibly so". The right are hopelessly split at the moment. Unless Reform's backers change ships to the Conservatives, I can't see this improving.

Kemi needs to seize this chance and get some positive headlines. She could start by reshuffling her top team and getting rid of losers such as Cleverly, Atkins and Patel. That would produce headlines and the political commentators would do the rest.