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Old 05-11-2025, 20:47   #2056
Chris
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Re: President Trump 2.0

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post
I think it's a bit misleading, or at least missing the point, to say he underperformed as the Democratic Nominee. This wasn't the standard two-way race between the Democrats and the Republicans. His main contender was also a Democrat, the DNC's preferred candidate to be the nominee, running as an independent.

I don't think there is a baseline to compare against previous elections as a result. It's someone who caused upset within the Democratic Party and then had to contend with some of them splitting off to stop him anyway.

It won't tell us much about wider America - there are results elsewhere that are a greater example of the trouble the Republicans are in - but it is a shock for the Democratic Party's leadership. This guy is very wing.
I think the vote split explanation is a bit convenient. Internal party disunity is hardly a new thing. It happens here, usually within Labour, often enough. The official candidate typically still wins, if the seat is safe enough. Sure, Cuomo will have taken something off Mamdani, but how much? It has to be more than 17% just to account for what Mamdani has lost compared to Di Blasio.

If the Dems can’t make it here, they can’t make it anywhere, and they were within a rat’s whisker of not making it. Of course they’re going to do well in the mid terms but I don’t think these results are nearly as good as they should be considering how polarising Trump is, or is supposed to be.
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