Quote:
Originally Posted by downquark1
I'm am not shifting the goal posts. Iran wins on both population and population density, so you don't have an argument, I just didn't want to insult your intelligence by pointing out that Iran is significantly larger.
You don't need super accurate missiles, you just aim into Tev Aviv.
Iranians are the intellectuals of the Muslim world, they have no shortage of engineers. If they do engage in a long term conflicts (although it looks like they don't want to) they keep rebuilding.
They have already used hypersonic missiles which are considered high tech delivery systems.
---------- Post added at 08:58 ---------- Previous post was at 08:27 ----------
OK I will lay it out:
US doesn't give any support:
Revolution in Iran - Israel wins
Iran unifies into long term war - Iran wins
US commits massive forces:
Russia and China don't support Iran, Iran surrenders/regime change - Israel wins
Russia and China do support Iran - Long term conflict, hard to say (maybe WWIII)
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There’s no path to anything anyone but an Iranian regime Mullah would call ‘victory’ here.
Sure, Israel probably wants regime change. Lack of regime change however is not an Iranian win. Iran has already lost its proxies on Israel’s borders, and it has now lost swathes of war-making capacity on its home territory.
Lack of regime change certainly doesn’t open the way to Tel Aviv getting ‘chipped away’. Iran doesn’t have the capacity to produce enough damaging munitions, rapidly enough, to achieve that, and neither Russia nor China is in a position to help.