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Old 01-03-2025, 00:06   #3179
Chris
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Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre View Post
Oh those that’ said it’s highly unlikely to happen,…….those two.
Yes, those.

To repeat, with emphasis:

nobody with any serious qualification to opine on it doubts that they can do it. They have the fissile material and the expertise.

The calculus until now has been whether it is politically too costly for them to do so. Up til now the consensus has been that it would be too costly. The political calculus is clearly now changing.

“Unlikely to happen” is because of the political cost, not the technical challenge. The political calculus is changing.
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