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Old 28-02-2025, 23:38   #3175
Chris
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Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre View Post
It’s not “likely” at all, no idea what you’re basing that assertion on.
The fact that nobody with any serious qualification to opine on it doubts that they can do it. They have the fissile material and the expertise.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world...ay/ar-AA1tD3qs

https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis...n-for-ukraine/

The calculus until now has been whether it is politically too costly for them to do so. Up til now the consensus has been that it would be too costly. The political calculus is clearly now changing.
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