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Old 07-11-2024, 16:10   #575
Chris
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Re: US Election 2024

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mick View Post
Yes I did call it & I won’t have you telling me otherwise Chris. I do not do hope or predictions, my post stated he was going to win, I posted it as fact & I was right.

The race was not too close to call at all, that’s the pollsters view, but I saw raw early voting data & as I outlined in my post from late October, Kamala Harris did not build up a large enough “Firewall” in Pennsylvania, like Biden did in 2020 & I knew she was in trouble, hence why I said in my October post above, he was going to win.
Of course you did ‘call’ it - everyone who made a prediction called it one way or the other. Some called it correctly, some called it incorrectly, and with the polls as tight as they were, whether you’re right or wrong is a coin toss. No, you did not post your prediction as a fact even if that’s what you thought you were doing. Future events are not facts until they’ve happened. You posted a prediction that you believed in strongly. There is a difference.

There was a ton of conflicting information out there. GOP channels were pushing data sets that showed Trump doing better than polls suggested. Dems did likewise. It’s called ‘narrative building’ and it’s designed to encourage your side to get out and vote while depressing the opposition. But please don’t pretend you performed some feat of psephological brilliance just because the team you cheerlead for happened to win - the fact that both sides indulge in narrative pushing activities means that whoever wins, can say ‘told you so’. That’s why I’m not buying it just because you said it.

Last edited by Chris; 07-11-2024 at 16:25.
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