Quote:
Originally Posted by Escapee
In my area they just voted for Labour because their families have done so for the last 100 years.
Vote Labour, complain about them for 5 years, then vote Labour again. Admittedly the complaints haven't really started yet in this area, they will wait a few months until they think everyone forgot that they voted for them.
One that surprised me when attending a 60th birthday party last weekend, was an old school friend who is well into his politics. He's worked in the nationalised industry and has always been a strong union and Labour supporter. I accept that he's fairly intelligent but I completely disagree with his political views. When he approached me I was expecting a heated discussion about politics, but he said "What do you think of this lot, I voted for Reform". I was left a little surprised, and just responded "I did too". Who would have thought we would have voted for the same party.
Perhaps the tide is turning.  |
Maybe although again be cautious about extrapolating from anecdotes.
About 3% of Labour voters in 2019 went reform compared to about 25% of Tory voters:
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articl...neral-election
That also shows that pensioners remain the Tory's most dependable bloc.
I think the biggest thing will be if Reform voters return the Tories or not. If you look at that link I think the biggest threat to the Tories is how much people who are in work and/or don't own homes are leaving them. Reform could become the right-wing party attracting those voters if they're not careful.
Labour on the other hand need to deliver for people in work and who want to own homes. If they don't do that, and improve the NHS, they're screwed as well.