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Old 23-08-2024, 22:31   #224
Damien
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Re: US Election 2024

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre View Post
The question is, no matter how small, who was voting for RFK?

Disaffected Dems or disaffected Reps? Probably not Reps,
When it was Biden then he was getting disaffected Democrats but those numbers tanked when Harris came in. His poll numbers dropped and he became a bigger liability to Trump. Hence he asked for a job from Trump and his running mate said the other day they might have to withdraw because they're now taking more from Trump than Harris.

We knew this was coming as soon as it became clear he was a negative rather than a positive for Trump.

https://x.com/OwenWntr/status/1825619067337847121

Quote:
This is backed up by other firms. In polls before Biden’s withdrawal, Trump had a 1.3pt advantage in questions that asked about multiple candidates vs head-to-head. With Harris, the effect is reversed: she has a 0.9-point greater margin when third-party candidates are included.
His dropping out is good for Trump because a few voters will go back to him but the endorsement at this point is pretty worthless as he had little Democratic support left and kind of burnt his goodwill amongst them long ago.

Last edited by Damien; 23-08-2024 at 22:38.
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