Damien

We'll see how her polling does over the next few weeks, especially when she selects her VP.

But what I think she does do is give people who don't want Trump but couldn't vote for Biden an alternative so you might see some wavering voters come back to the Democrats. I still think Trump will be the favourite but now it's not as certain as it seems. To give some context to those poll numbers I think it's the first time Trump hasn't led in the polling against the presumed Democratic nominee for a year. Harris can hold proper rallies, she won't look mentally out of it for the debate and voters won't be concerned about her mental capability. The change in candidate has also led to the biggest surge in donations even apparently. So the Dems have money again.

The risk is that any polling bounce is soft, powered by a relief it's not Biden, and will collapse.