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Originally Posted by 1andrew1
That one gives the Liberal Democrats more seats than the Conservatives. Chris has already mentioned this as a scenario and interesting to see it in this poll of polls.
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It’s now also visible in Survation’s latest MRP poll (massive sample, statistical jiggery-pokery at the constituency level).
While it is not their most probable outcome, they are giving only a 53% chance of the Tories getting more seats than the Lib Dems. If these newfangled MRP polls are as good as their makers say they are, Ed Davey as leader of His Majesty’s loyal opposition is an outcome now very much in play.
https://www.survation.com/survation-...-than-in-1997/
There has been evidence throughout this campaign of Labour directing its resources outside of most constituencies in southwest England where the Lib Dems are most likely to take a seat off a Tory. I’m soaking up the drizzle in Penzance this morning, where some streets have an orange diamond in almost every window. So far I’ve seen just one Tory house on the western prom road and Labour is entirely absent.