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Old 02-07-2024, 20:03   #46
denphone
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 6

Landslide it is then..

https://www.survation.com/survation-...-than-in-1997/

With two days until polls open, Survation predict that Labour will win the 2024 general election with 484 out of a total 650 seats. The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition.


Quote:
These predictions come from a multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) model which uses data from over 30,000 respondents to make seat-level forecasts.

The model’s implied vote share indicates that Labour will win around 42% of the vote, just under twenty percentage points ahead of the Conservative party on 23%.
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