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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 5
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/labour-m...ver-vote-share
Quote:
- Labour lead voting intentions by 42% (-1 from early June) to Conservatives’ 19% (-4)
- Reform UK up 6 points to 15% (highest share with Ipsos), LibDems up 3 to 11%.
- Rishi Sunak most unpopular Prime Minister with Ipsos ever at this stage of campaign.
- Just over a third say they may change their mind before polling day.
- 72% say they dislike the Conservatives (a record high), their worst score, and 78% think it is time for a change
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Quote:
- More than one in three say they may change their mind before the election (36%. At this stage in December 2019 it was 27%. 44% of current Conservative voters and 45% of Liberal Democrats say they may change their mind compared to one in three Labour voters (33%) and 29% of Reform UK supporters.
- Among those who may change their mind, 21% are considering Labour, 19% the Lib Dems and 14% the Greens, 7% are considering the Conservatives and 7% Reform UK.
- 64% of voters say they are voting for the party that best represents their views. 19% are voting tactically – they agree “The party you support has little chance of winning in this constituency so you vote for the [party] to try and keep another party out”. This is higher than we have seen in previous elections, it stood at 14% in 2019. This may be benefiting the Lib Dems as 36% of those voting Lib Dem say this is why they are voting for the party, as do 25% of those voting Labour, but only 13% of those voting Conservative and 10% for Reform UK.
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