Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
Just to try to stop this drifting into a copy of the Ukraine thread … more broadly what’s your view on how will Reform will do in terms of actual seats won? Estimates vary wildly, and I’m seeing some people saying they’re more likely to vote for them now the polls say it may not be a wasted vote. Some sort of feedback loop appears possible.
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Certainly keen not to duplicate the other thread.
I’ll have a closer look tomorrow to make some kind of educated guess but my hunch from outset is that it’s easier to tell a pollster you’ll vote reform than in an actual GE but agree on the probability of a feedback loop.
Obviously they’ll get nothing in Scotland, there’s enough tactical voting on constitutional lines but they could save the SNPs blushes in a few seats. It’s also difficult without knowing geographic distribution of course - as the Lib Dems find out every election.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr K
The Greens will get more seats than Reform.
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I suspect for this to happen some kind of event would have to happen to finish Farage, and this event accepted and promoted to the extent his usually sympathetic Westminster bubble refuse him access to their microphones in the manner they do now.
Some evidence of corruption or collusion with a foreign government to undermine British democratic processes, perhaps. Being a dodgy banker probably not enough.