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Old 20-06-2024, 17:54   #6
Pierre
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Join Date: Dec 2003
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 5

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
Some interesting data that adds intrigue to the rapidly-growing election betting scandal. B*tfair is unusually transparent about how much money is being bet on any particular thing. It’s possible to see that throughout this year there has been a constant, but small, stream of bets on a July election. But suddenly, the day before the election was called, there’s a truly massive increase in the amount of money laid on the election being in July.

Graphs are viewable in this thread on Xitter: https://x.com/jimwaterson/status/180...56-Kgau3lzowJw

I know at least one Tory has called his bet an ‘error of judgment’. Obvs we don’t know if he knew the date and placed a bet in a manner that might have been criminal. But judging by these numbers, this is not a coincidence. Someone, or several someones, knew exactly when the election was going to be, and thought they could cash in by betting on the date before it went public.
It just reinforces the inference that our MPs are not very bright.
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