Some interesting data that adds intrigue to the rapidly-growing election betting scandal. B*tfair is unusually transparent about how much money is being bet on any particular thing. It’s possible to see that throughout this year there has been a constant, but small, stream of bets on a July election. But suddenly, the day before the election was called, there’s a truly massive increase in the amount of money laid on the election being in July.
Graphs are viewable in this thread on Xitter:
https://x.com/jimwaterson/status/180...56-Kgau3lzowJw
I know at least one Tory has called his bet an ‘error of judgment’. Obvs we don’t know if he knew the date and placed a bet in a manner that might have been criminal. But judging by these numbers, this is not a coincidence. Someone, or several someones, knew exactly when the election was going to be, and thought they could cash in by betting on the date before it went public.