Ukraine has far more problems than that, to be fair.
The fallacy is believing on a “a once Ukraine is in NATO”. There’s Poland and disputed territory now. Unless Poland invade from the other side, proving the Russian point.
Ukraine ceases to exist in any meaningful way - no return of the refugees - and thus a rump state headed by the Zelensky regime that none of its neighbours takes seriously.
Unless of course the F-16s turn up
