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Originally Posted by Paddy1
More no implies a fall in support. I just don't think it's the primary reason for the swing by a long chalk. Support for leaving the UK will ebb and flow and I think turfing out the Tories is the bigger priority right now, regardless of the view on the constitutional question.
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… in which I made no comment whatsoever about sentiment, but rather addressed the question of ‘will Scotland leave the UK’?
It doesn’t matter how popular independence is as a sentiment, at present there is no effective political vehicle for it other than the SNP (though I admit I’m stretching the definition of ‘effective’).
If the SNP’s electoral fortunes wane, then whatever likelihood there was of Scotland leaving, reduces. Hence, what I actually said, which was:
Quote:
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On the basis of last night’s by-election result, or anything close to it, at the next general election, the answer to the thread title is still no, and rather more no than it’s been in quite some time.
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It’s a simple observation of process. Though I do understand it’s really difficult in Scotland right now not to assume the discourse consists of little more than ‘nat’ or ‘yoon’ crowing.