Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul
You mean like the threat of power cuts due to not having enough generation power ?
Having to keep old coal powered stations on standby for shortages instead of closing them down ?
This all happened last year, and atm, electric car usage is still only about 10-15%.
The UK was aiming for 2040, and then for no obvious reason changed that to 2030.
It will make almost no practical difference to the world as a whole, we are just too small.
Plus a little know fact is that HGVs and Buses will still be 2040, and Hybrids will still be 2035
Most of the world is either 2035 or 2040, including the huge users like the USA & China. Some countries are 2050.
I could not find a date for Russia, but the choice of actual cars for them to buy would be very limited by the year 2040.
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Specifically OB said though “when the power runs out”. There’s no actual evidence a Government would be so complacent to let that happen. Last year was also a situation where much of Europe were at short notice chasing the same gas supplies - I don’t think it’s accurate to present it as the demand side being the problem.
Nobody is claiming that the transition will happen overnight. The idea that the (any) Government will sit back and let power cuts become a routine experience as presented is preposterous. They’d very quickly find themselves out on their ear if they did.
I do agree though that our (any) Government are unlikely to go through with being at the front. As we approach those dates I’d expect them to slide. The technologies won’t reach economies of scale to drive down prices until the big players are on board.