Quote:
Originally Posted by Ms NTL
No sunflower oil or wheat for the starving countries.....
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An unlikely outcome.
What we’re likely to see in the coming days is Türkiye doing what it has warned Putin it would do, and start convoying Ukrainian grain shipments with Turkish naval vessels in attendance. In pulling out of the grain deal (which it already said it was going to do today regardless of any incident on the Kerch bridge) Putin has overplayed an extremely weak hand. If he doesn’t back-track, he will have given a Nato country a solid reason to become actively involved in events in a way that seriously complicates Russian operations in the Black Sea.
In the longer run, Crimea back under Ukrainian control is the best thing for world food security, because once it’s denied access to the Sevastopol naval base, Russia will have a very hard time interfering with any shipping in the western Black Sea.